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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Celtics23%9488
2Spurs77%104103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.8
34.0
37.1
6
43%
5
9
0
2
0
7
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
30.4
28.3
13
47%
6
3
2
1
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
6-13
6-11
46%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
30.2
22.4
11
53%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
29.9
36.7
18
65%
5
4
3
1
1
4
0
5
2-2
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
45%
2-5
40%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
18.2
24.7
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
31.8
23.1
10
50%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.2
31.4
30.3
18
63%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
4-9
44%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
13.5
14.2
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
11.2
13.8
2
50%
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.0
9.4
5.2
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
6.8
0
1-2
44%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.0
3.1
0
0-0
41%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
36.3
34.0
22
66%
3
8
4
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
7-12
7-14
58%
52%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
34.2
28.0
12
55%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
3-7
43%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
31.9
30.4
20
70%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
3-6
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
31.2
28.8
5
18%
12
2
1
1
2
2
3
9
1-2
50%
2-13
6-12
15%
51%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.0
28.4
22.2
16
63%
8
4
0
1
1
2
2
6
4-6
67%
6-10
4-7
60%
60%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
21.6
21.1
4
100%
4
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
20.1
9.5
8
62%
4
1
2
0
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
46%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
14.8
8.2
7
58%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
11.7
9.5
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-3
33%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
5.5
4.1
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
4.2
27.5
3
75%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
53%
1-2
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
12.7
1
2-4
52%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.