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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Rockets61%10396
28Raptors39%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
41.3
33.9
28
57%
4
4
1
1
1
2
1
3
14-15
93%
7-15
5-9
47%
52%
0-3
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
40.2
34.7
12
45%
6
4
0
1
0
1
0
6
3-5
60%
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
1-4
25%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
36.5
15.6
19
70%
6
1
0
0
0
3
1
5
5-6
83%
4-7
1-3
57%
48%
2-4
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
32.8
27.8
7
39%
1
2
3
2
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
1-2
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
27.6
28.3
7
40%
13
0
1
1
0
2
2
11
1-4
25%
3-7
3-7
43%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
21.6
22.2
10
45%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-7
29%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
20.1
17.6
8
57%
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
53%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
15.5
24.6
5
64%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
4.3
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
26.7
1
4-8
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
4.3
0
0-1
40%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
2.8
0
0-1
52%
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
36.5
28.5
18
61%
10
14
1
1
1
0
0
10
5-6
83%
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
1-5
20%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
35.1
36.2
19
48%
7
3
3
1
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
7-16
6-13
44%
48%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
25.6
25.8
13
69%
6
2
0
1
3
2
2
4
1-1
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
55%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
21.1
22.5
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
13.9
21.2
2
50%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
28.6
17.8
8
67%
8
1
0
1
5
0
2
6
0-0
-
4-6
3-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
25.3
21.2
24
75%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
9-9
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
39%
3-7
43%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
23.0
20.1
9
41%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-2
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
1-5
20%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.0
19.3
17.4
2
17%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-4
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
11.7
15.8
6
50%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
6.3
0
1-1
53%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.2
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.