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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers59%100111
2176ers41%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.0
41.8
35.1
17
59%
11
5
3
1
2
5
4
7
3-3
100%
7-13
6-10
54%
58%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.3
40.0
40.9
34
68%
4
6
1
1
0
5
0
4
8-9
89%
10-15
8-16
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.1
34.1
34.0
19
75%
16
1
4
1
2
1
5
11
4-6
67%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.3
29.6
30.0
14
64%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
4-10
40%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.1
20.0
21.2
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
36.1
26.1
12
55%
2
1
4
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
2-8
25%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.0
18.3
10.3
15
84%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
3-5
60%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.5
13.1
17.2
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.5
6.2
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.9
0.8
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.4
10.1
0
1-3
48%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
9.0
0
1-3
49%
Darius Johnson-Odom
G · 6'2" 215 · 23.2
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.9
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.1
42.7
39.5
16
45%
4
6
0
1
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
6-15
6-13
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
41.1
25.7
30
64%
4
2
1
1
0
0
4
0
0-1
0%
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
6-12
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
32.4
34.9
14
67%
6
1
1
1
1
5
0
6
0-1
0%
7-10
6-12
70%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
28.9
26.5
9
48%
1
0
1
1
2
2
0
1
1-3
33%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.8
22.3
10.7
2
50%
8
1
1
0
3
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
26.2
18.3
6
33%
7
9
0
1
0
4
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
23.6
25.7
16
67%
6
1
0
0
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
2-3
67%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.9
10.8
3.8
3
52%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
8.3
19.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
2.8
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.6
0.8
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
24.8
1
4-9
47%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
2.7
0
0-1
48%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.