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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets64%103122
27Kings36%9897
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
28.5
35.0
11
63%
8
8
1
1
0
2
2
6
3-4
75%
4-6
4-7
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
25.9
33.4
18
80%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
5-5
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
47%
1-3
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.1
25.8
36.2
11
70%
4
7
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
5-10
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
25.3
27.1
6
38%
8
0
0
1
1
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
55%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.8
22.3
21.8
12
55%
7
1
0
1
1
0
4
3
0-2
0%
6-10
3-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.7
23.6
26.0
4
72%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
20.2
5.0
15
68%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.8
19.2
24.0
6
33%
5
2
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
2-5
40%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
17.1
20.3
19
76%
5
0
0
0
3
0
4
1
5-8
63%
7-9
4-7
78%
56%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
12.0
1.8
7
70%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.4
8.6
6.6
6
61%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.4
7.0
3.1
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
4.5
2.3
1
27%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
32.6
24.4
19
50%
11
1
0
1
0
1
6
5
9-11
82%
5-14
5-12
36%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
26.2
29.6
16
54%
10
1
2
1
1
0
7
3
2-2
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
21.1
26.1
9
41%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
2-4
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
20.6
30.3
4
23%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-4
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
10.4
24.9
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
4-9
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
26.9
14.7
20
60%
3
4
1
0
0
4
1
2
13-15
87%
2-7
2-3
29%
50%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
19.8
11.2
6
43%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
19.0
19.1
7
70%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
18.6
12.7
10
56%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
16.8
7.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
15.9
17.6
2
20%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
12.1
16.4
2
100%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
10.0
0
1-2
49%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.