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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets42%9694
23Trail Blazers58%9995
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.9
45.8
33.9
23
54%
8
11
0
1
0
6
1
7
3-3
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
46%
2-7
29%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
33.7
34.4
26
77%
6
2
2
1
0
1
5
1
1-2
50%
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
7-10
70%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
33.2
32.5
8
45%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
42%
1-1
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.7
20.0
23.0
8
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.2
8.1
22.2
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
33.8
23.6
15
59%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
5-6
83%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
17.9
8.8
3
38%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
16.9
7.5
8
80%
7
2
0
0
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
46%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
15.3
9.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
11.1
10.6
3
26%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.0
4.3
20.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
11.9
0
0-1
46%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
42.2
31.3
11
50%
5
10
5
1
5
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
3-9
33%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.4
38.6
37.1
16
54%
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
4-9
25%
49%
4-10
40%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
37.4
36.0
20
53%
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
4-4
100%
8-17
8-15
47%
52%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
30.7
25.3
24
72%
16
3
0
1
1
4
8
8
4-6
67%
10-14
4-8
71%
52%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
3.5
20.6
3
150%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-1
100%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
26.6
19.2
10
71%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
19.6
4.8
2
50%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
15.9
25.6
4
33%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.3
12.1
13.1
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 21.9
7.2
8.9
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.8
5.8
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
55%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
0.4
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
11.1
0
1-3
45%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.5
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.