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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Timberwolves57%9793
22Magic43%95102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.3
38.0
22.5
23
55%
15
0
3
1
0
2
2
13
1-2
50%
8-14
4-8
57%
47%
2-6
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.0
35.7
32.9
19
47%
12
0
0
1
0
4
7
5
3-5
60%
8-18
6-12
44%
53%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
35.1
34.4
13
44%
4
6
2
2
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
5-10
4-7
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
31.7
33.0
11
74%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.0
28.4
33.9
3
19%
0
5
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
1-6
17%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.5
22.1
22.3
10
38%
0
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.2
16.5
28.1
0
0%
2
4
1
2
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-6
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
16.3
21.4
10
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.6
10.1
12.8
4
67%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.2
6.0
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
7.2
0
1-2
44%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.6
6.8
0
1-1
44%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.0
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.6
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
34.8
30.4
6
25%
4
12
1
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
33.0
28.7
14
54%
11
2
1
1
2
3
2
9
0-0
-
7-13
4-9
54%
48%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
32.0
31.7
28
78%
5
1
2
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
13-17
6-13
76%
45%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
30.6
35.5
13
57%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
51%
2-2
100%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
15.0
18.4
5
83%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.5
27.7
30.4
18
75%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
47%
2-4
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.8
22.7
3.4
4
40%
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.7
17.9
10.1
9
104%
3
2
1
0
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
13.2
21.3
3
50%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
10.9
19.9
0
0%
5
0
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
2.1
1.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.5
3.6
0
0-1
46%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
2.8
0
0-1
39%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.