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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Bulls35%8971
6Grizzlies65%9580
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
41.8
41.2
11
62%
9
3
1
1
0
3
2
7
1-2
50%
5-8
5-11
63%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
40.3
34.8
13
47%
4
1
2
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
2-9
3-7
22%
43%
2-3
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
39.2
41.3
11
28%
4
1
2
1
0
3
2
2
3-6
50%
4-13
6-12
31%
46%
0-4
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.1
33.6
30.1
16
43%
13
2
1
1
0
2
3
10
2-4
50%
7-17
6-12
41%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
31.3
19.2
4
25%
2
5
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
20.6
17.1
4
41%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.5
16.7
24.0
4
40%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
16.6
19.3
8
82%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.8
13.3
0
2-5
44%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.8
13.2
0
1-3
40%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.1
1.0
0
0-0
38%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.9
37.1
34.0
4
25%
11
3
3
1
1
2
2
9
2-2
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
32.4
34.1
10
34%
15
1
1
1
0
2
7
8
2-2
100%
4-14
6-12
29%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
32.0
34.6
17
60%
4
4
2
2
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
5-8
3-7
63%
46%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
29.3
36.1
12
41%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-4
50%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.9
25.6
24.7
6
44%
3
0
0
2
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
20.7
19.9
6
44%
6
0
1
1
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
1-1
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
20.5
14.5
11
79%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
3-4
75%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
16.6
13.4
4
29%
5
0
0
0
1
2
4
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
16.1
13.6
5
63%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
9.9
6.7
5
51%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.6
6.3
0
1-2
51%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.7
1.1
0
0-0
46%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.