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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Raptors41%98113
27Cavaliers59%10199
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
36
35
16
5
4
2
1
0
1
1
4
8-8
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
33
31
23
5
6
2
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
7-9
2-5
78%
49%
3-6
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
24
25
4
4
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
55%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
19
18
8
7
1
1
0
0
0
0
7
2-4
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
16
22
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
32
22
18
6
2
1
0
0
1
4
2
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
40%
5-7
71%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
29
22
17
6
4
1
1
1
2
2
4
5-5
100%
6-7
3-5
86%
56%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.0
21
18
10
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
6-7
86%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-3
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
15
14
11
1
5
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-4
50%
42%
2-3
67%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
15
21
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
20
1
2-4
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
4
0
0-1
51%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.2
2
0
0-0
46%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
41
36
15
4
2
0
1
3
2
1
3
2-3
67%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.2
39
33
22
10
2
1
1
1
0
3
7
12-16
75%
5-12
5-10
42%
53%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.7
37
33
23
3
7
3
1
1
5
0
3
3-5
60%
7-11
6-12
64%
50%
2-5
40%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.8
29
23
10
9
1
1
1
1
2
7
2
0-1
0%
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.0
28
31
8
0
4
0
1
1
3
0
0
0-2
0%
4-11
4-9
36%
44%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
30
31
13
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
16
22
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.8
15
26
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
39%
2-3
67%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
4
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
1
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.9
6
0
1-2
47%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
6
0
0-1
46%
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.3
3
0
0-1
48%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.6
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.