Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Timberwolves	27%	95	92	104.5	88	90.6
	3	Heat	73%	103	103	114.4	90	87.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Pekovic C · 6'11" 307 · 27	33.3	18	47%	12	0	1	0	6	2	9	3	0-0	-	9-19	47%	0-0	-
Luke Ridnour G · 6'2" 175 · 32	33.0	13	50%	3	1	1	0	3	4	1	2	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	0-4	0%
Kevin Love F · 6'10" 251 · 24	33.0	11	39%	18	3	0	0	3	3	3	15	7-8	88%	2-10	20%	0-0	-
Alexey Shved G · 6'6" 187 · 24	30.9	2	13%	1	8	0	0	3	4	1	0	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Andrei Kirilenko F · 6'9" 235 · 32	30.2	22	69%	4	2	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	8-13	62%	2-3	67%

J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 28	24.9	10	50%	4	3	0	0	3	2	0	4	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 22	21.8	8	50%	3	0	1	0	1	4	0	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Dante Cunningham F · 6'8" 230 · 26	18.7	2	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 27	7.2	0	0%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 30	7.2	6	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Ricky Rubio G · 6'4" 190 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Howard F-G · 6'7" 210 · 33	\| DND - Hyperextended Right Knee
Malcolm Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 23	\| NWT - Hyperextended Right Knee
Chase Budinger #10 · F · 6'7" 209 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brandon Roy #3 · G · 6'6" 211 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	47%	53	18	5	1	19	0	18	35	14-19	74%	33-69	48%	4-17	24%

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11 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Pekovic C · 6'11" 307 · 27	33.3	18	47%	12	0	1	0	6	2	9	3	0-0	-	9-19	47%	0-0	-
Luke Ridnour G · 6'2" 175 · 32	33.0	13	50%	3	1	1	0	3	4	1	2	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	0-4	0%
Kevin Love F · 6'10" 251 · 24	33.0	11	39%	18	3	0	0	3	3	3	15	7-8	88%	2-10	20%	0-0	-
Alexey Shved G · 6'6" 187 · 24	30.9	2	13%	1	8	0	0	3	4	1	0	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Andrei Kirilenko F · 6'9" 235 · 32	30.2	22	69%	4	2	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	8-13	62%	2-3	67%

J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 28	24.9	10	50%	4	3	0	0	3	2	0	4	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 22	21.8	8	50%	3	0	1	0	1	4	0	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Dante Cunningham F · 6'8" 230 · 26	18.7	2	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 27	7.2	0	0%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 30	7.2	6	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Ricky Rubio G · 6'4" 190 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Howard F-G · 6'7" 210 · 33	\| DND - Hyperextended Right Knee
Malcolm Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 23	\| NWT - Hyperextended Right Knee
Chase Budinger #10 · F · 6'7" 209 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brandon Roy #3 · G · 6'6" 211 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	47%	53	18	5	1	19	0	18	35	14-19	74%	33-69	48%	4-17	24%

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3 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	42.0	22	55%	6	11	1	4	0	0	0	6	4-5	80%	6-13	46%	2-5	40%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	27.2	24	63%	3	4	2	2	1	2	2	1	8-11	73%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 29	27.1	15	68%	3	1	1	2	3	3	2	1	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	1-1	100%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	23.0	12	86%	0	0	3	1	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	18.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 34	29.3	9	56%	5	0	1	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	25.0	8	67%	2	4	2	2	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 37	20.8	8	50%	2	2	2	0	2	1	2	0	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 30	20.2	2	33%	1	1	0	2	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	7.3	3	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Harrellson #55 · F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Terrel Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	58%	24	25	12	14	8	0	6	18	18-23	78%	23-52	44%	13-25	52%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

0.95 47.4%

MIA

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

26

43

60%

MIA

17

26

65%

Midrange

MIN

7

26

27%

MIA

6

26

23%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

4

6.0

17

24%

35%

MIA

13

19.5

25

52%

78%

Free Throws

MIN

14

19

74%

MIA

18

23

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Kirilenko	22	69%	11.0 / 16
N. Pekovic	18	47%	9.0 / 19
L. Ridnour	13	50%	6.5 / 13
K. Love	11	39%	5.5 / 14
J. Barea	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Williams	8	50%	4.0 / 8
L. Amundson	6	100%	3.0 / 3
A. Shved	2	13%	1.0 / 8
D. Cunningham	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Stiemsma	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	24	63%	12.0 / 19
L. James	22	55%	11.0 / 20
C. Bosh	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Chalmers	12	86%	6.0 / 7
S. Battier	9	56%	4.5 / 8
N. Cole	8	67%	4.0 / 6
R. Allen	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Miller	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Anthony	2	33%	1.0 / 3
U. Haslem	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 102.9 1 112.1	MIN 104.5 MIA 114.4 +9.9
Pace	11 92.9 23 90.9	MIN 90.6 +3.2 MIA 87.4
Avg. Poss. Time	14 15.7 10 16.0	MIN 15.9 −0.6 MIA 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 47.3% 1 55.2%	MIN 45.3% MIA 55.2% +9.9%
TO %	15 15.2% 7 14.5%	MIN 17.5% MIA 9.4% −8.1%
ORB %	12 27.3% 27 22.2%	MIN 50.0% +35.4% MIA 14.6%
FTrt	6 30.5 8 29.7	MIN 22.1 MIA 29.9 +7.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 62.4% 13 60.0%	MIN 48.6% MIA 69.4% +20.8%
STL %	6 9.1% 4 9.5%	MIN 5.7% MIA 13.3% +7.6%
BLK %	18 7.6% 9 9.1%	MIN 1.9% MIA 20.3% +18.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 50.2% 1 57.0%	MIN 47.4% MIA 57.9% +10.5%
Rim FG%	18 56.8% 1 65.9%	MIN 60.5% MIA 65.4% +4.9%
Mid FG%	19 38.5% 4 41.9%	MIN 26.9% +3.8% MIA 23.1%
3P %	30 30.5% 2 39.6%	MIN 23.5% MIA 52.0% +28.5%
FT %	21 74.2% 16 75.4%	MIN 73.7% MIA 78.3% +4.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 39.1% 21 34.8%	MIN 50.0% +16.2% MIA 33.8%
Mid Att. %	15 38.9% 10 36.7%	MIN 30.2% −3.5% MIA 33.8%
3P Att. %	21 22.0% 5 28.5%	MIN 19.8% MIA 32.5% +12.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.

Game Totals	MIN	MIA
Possessions	88	90
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	92	103
Rebounds	53	24
Assists	18	25
Steals	5	12
Blocks	1	14
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (9)	6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	18 (7)
Field Goals	37-86	36-77
At-the-Rim FG	26-43	17-26
Midrange FG	7-26	6-26
2-Point FG	33-69	23-52
3-Point FG	4-17	13-25
Free Throws	14-19	18-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg