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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pacers53%9393
20Bucks47%9298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
37.8
38.3
16
48%
10
5
1
2
1
5
0
10
4-4
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
0-4
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.6
36.0
36.0
18
48%
5
2
1
1
0
4
0
5
5-6
83%
5-14
4-8
36%
48%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
33.5
31.4
12
38%
6
1
0
1
1
2
3
3
2-4
50%
5-14
6-13
36%
50%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.0
27.9
24.9
8
40%
10
2
0
0
0
2
7
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
27.7
11.4
3
30%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.1
19.9
16.7
14
60%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
4-6
67%
5-9
2-4
56%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
19.0
25.0
6
51%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.1
14.7
17.7
9
97%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
5-6
83%
2-2
2-5
100%
42%
0-0
-
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.0
12.0
8.9
7
96%
2
3
2
0
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
11.5
20.9
0
0%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
3.9
0
0-1
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.1
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.8
0.8
0
0-0
44%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.3
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
44.0
35.9
34
65%
5
6
0
2
0
3
2
3
6-9
67%
11-18
4-10
61%
44%
2-4
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
39.7
34.7
19
38%
2
6
3
1
1
4
0
2
3-4
75%
8-21
6-13
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
34.3
27.1
10
57%
10
2
2
1
1
1
2
8
4-4
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
29.3
20.9
5
51%
9
0
1
1
5
0
4
5
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
22.2
30.1
7
88%
0
0
1
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
26.6
11.1
17
55%
6
1
0
0
2
0
2
4
2-3
67%
3-9
1-2
33%
49%
3-5
60%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
14.4
18.8
2
50%
1
0
2
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
13.7
22.3
2
14%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
48%
0-1
0%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
11.7
18.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
4.0
12.5
2
36%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
7.3
0
1-2
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
6.6
0
1-2
47%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
4.0
0
0-0
54%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.