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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2476ers39%95100
19Mavericks61%98107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.1
38.1
40.1
17
53%
5
5
1
1
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-10
6-14
40%
45%
3-6
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
36.5
33.7
12
41%
7
2
1
1
0
1
4
3
2-4
50%
5-13
6-12
38%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
29.6
27.2
11
39%
6
4
3
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-7
14%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
23.8
31.3
8
62%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.8
19.3
15.3
4
67%
7
1
1
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
29.8
21.1
25
66%
5
2
0
1
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
7-13
54%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
27.3
24.6
18
86%
7
0
0
0
1
2
4
3
8-8
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
0-0
-
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.6
20.9
4.4
3
21%
1
9
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
1-5
20%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
5.6
15.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.9
5.3
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
3.6
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
18.1
1
3-7
46%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
36.2
34.6
26
81%
3
8
3
1
0
2
0
3
8-9
89%
6-10
4-9
60%
46%
2-2
100%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.6
34.1
29.7
14
64%
9
1
2
1
1
3
4
5
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.6
30.1
22.4
20
60%
7
0
0
0
1
2
0
7
2-4
50%
9-15
5-10
60%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
26.4
19.6
8
51%
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.4
5.2
26.5
2
33%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.3
30.7
27.2
12
57%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
7-8
88%
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.9
23.6
21.0
3
38%
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
17.7
10.1
4
42%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
17.5
12.0
10
83%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
59%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
16.1
9.6
8
82%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
2.5
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
19.0
1
3-5
49%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.6
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.