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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs44%101106
8Nuggets56%103112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
40.0
27.3
31
53%
18
6
2
1
5
2
4
14
9-10
90%
11-25
6-12
44%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
35.5
31.1
13
49%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
2-9
6-12
22%
50%
2-3
67%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.0
23.3
23.2
10
59%
4
3
3
1
1
1
1
3
0-1
0%
5-8
4-7
63%
58%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
23.1
26.0
3
15%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
1-8
13%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
13.1
29.6
3
30%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
29.6
13.5
16
48%
6
6
2
1
1
4
1
5
4-4
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
51%
2-9
22%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
25.4
21.9
4
100%
8
4
1
1
2
2
1
7
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
22.1
19.2
5
31%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
1-4
25%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
17.1
11.2
15
94%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
5-8
63%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
6.7
17.2
3
150%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
4.2
11.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.7
12.3
1
2-4
51%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
9.7
0
1-2
44%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.1
38.1
32.0
12
36%
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
37.3
32.0
14
78%
9
6
2
1
1
3
2
7
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
2-2
100%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
34.8
30.2
28
57%
9
2
2
1
1
1
1
8
7-8
88%
6-11
3-7
55%
46%
3-10
30%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.8
31.4
21.8
4
33%
14
0
1
0
4
1
5
9
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
28.9
26.2
19
64%
11
2
1
1
0
3
2
9
7-9
78%
6-11
4-8
55%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.8
29.2
22.0
16
61%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-5
40%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
2-4
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.8
22.7
24.8
8
52%
5
7
1
1
1
1
0
5
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
11.2
18.9
10
48%
3
0
0
0
3
2
2
1
4-10
40%
3-6
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.4
6.5
7.6
1
17%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
11.2
0
1-3
47%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
6.1
0
1-1
48%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
1.3
0
0-0
44%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.4
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.