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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets30%9796
16Warriors70%104103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
39.0
27.3
15
74%
16
1
4
1
1
3
5
11
7-7
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.9
34.4
37.7
20
77%
5
11
3
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
45%
4-5
80%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
31.4
32.1
12
55%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
3-7
75%
40%
0-3
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
20.4
11.3
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.7
14.7
21.6
6
60%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
40.7
33.6
28
55%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
8-8
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
4-14
29%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
25.7
10.8
4
67%
6
3
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
16.7
12.8
4
34%
0
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.0
13.7
14.1
3
21%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.2
3.5
16.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
12.1
0
1-3
42%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
8.0
0
0-1
44%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
39.3
37.8
13
47%
5
3
0
2
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
50%
1-3
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
37.7
35.5
26
68%
9
4
1
1
1
2
3
6
6-7
86%
10-16
8-14
63%
54%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
35.2
30.8
19
54%
4
2
3
1
0
1
0
4
6-6
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
3-8
38%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.6
19.4
23.1
0
0%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.2
10.9
9.2
2
35%
6
2
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
33.8
29.8
16
59%
3
10
0
1
0
2
1
2
7-8
88%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
25.6
24.0
16
72%
9
1
1
0
0
3
5
4
6-7
86%
5-8
4-7
63%
54%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
23.7
19.3
6
61%
6
2
3
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.8
8.9
7.3
5
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.5
5.5
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.5
0.1
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
7.2
0
0-1
58%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.5
2.0
0
0-1
49%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.1
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.