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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons48%9791
23Raptors52%9897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.0
36.2
34.3
2
10%
4
6
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-9
4-8
11%
44%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.5
34.6
33.6
35
69%
10
2
2
1
0
1
6
4
7-8
88%
14-22
6-12
64%
51%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.8
33.0
33.8
9
58%
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
30.6
31.6
9
46%
6
0
0
1
0
0
4
2
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.8
21.2
26.9
6
39%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.7
29.3
21.0
13
46%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-5
40%
4-11
3-6
36%
46%
1-1
100%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.4
20.4
20.4
6
49%
8
0
1
1
1
1
2
6
2-7
29%
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.3
19.7
12.7
8
40%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
49%
0-5
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.5
15.1
8.2
3
25%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
8.5
0
1-2
46%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.0
8.0
0
1-3
45%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.8
3.7
0
0-1
51%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.3
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.4
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
37.3
35.5
23
58%
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
8-15
6-12
53%
47%
2-4
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
36.0
31.6
7
41%
2
17
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
27.6
24.8
11
70%
9
0
0
1
2
0
2
7
1-2
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
54%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
26.7
18.6
12
87%
5
1
0
0
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
52%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
21.8
19.6
7
90%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
26.2
25.9
16
57%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
5-7
71%
1-3
2-5
33%
39%
3-8
38%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
21.2
24.8
5
91%
9
0
2
1
1
1
3
6
3-4
75%
1-1
3-6
100%
57%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.0
20.4
19.3
5
36%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-6
17%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
12.1
14.2
2
20%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
10.8
18.4
9
75%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
13.6
0
1-3
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
3.6
0
0-1
52%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.2
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.