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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards29%9083
22Magic71%9890
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.2
41.0
36.4
19
56%
4
6
2
1
0
7
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
44%
3-7
43%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
31.3
30.2
11
69%
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
27.1
21.8
8
40%
12
3
0
1
1
0
3
9
0-2
0%
4-9
3-6
44%
51%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.3
24.8
15.5
2
14%
3
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 31.3
20.2
12.1
2
17%
5
1
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
39%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
31.4
22.7
11
79%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
3-4
75%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.3
24.9
18.1
20
85%
2
2
0
1
1
4
1
1
4-4
100%
8-10
3-6
80%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.0
23.1
22.0
6
33%
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
5-9
33%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.1
16.3
17.9
4
40%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.5
33.2
1
4-9
42%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.5
6.0
0
1-1
43%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.2
6.0
0
0-1
41%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.7
5.0
0
0-1
49%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
39.3
33.2
15
38%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
6-13
5-9
46%
52%
0-5
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
38.5
31.4
12
33%
9
1
1
1
2
4
2
7
0-0
-
6-18
6-13
33%
47%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
34.1
29.9
8
44%
13
0
0
1
1
0
3
10
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
31.4
31.8
8
59%
2
5
3
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
17.9
16.8
9
58%
7
0
2
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.5
26.2
29.3
17
82%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
4-6
67%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
19.9
18.0
15
75%
1
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
3-5
60%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.7
16.3
12.9
3
52%
8
3
1
1
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.8
10.1
11.1
3
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
1-1
100%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
6.3
16.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.5
2.6
0
0-1
47%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
2.3
0
0-1
41%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
1.8
0
0-0
49%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.8
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.