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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Jazz39%9284
14Pacers61%96104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.0
24.8
31.9
11
50%
0
3
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.9
22.9
28.5
7
40%
9
3
0
1
1
0
4
5
3-4
75%
2-7
5-10
29%
49%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.0
22.4
32.2
4
23%
6
2
0
1
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-8
7-14
13%
48%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.2
21.8
26.4
7
35%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
1-6
17%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.5
21.4
25.9
6
60%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.4
27.8
19.7
16
53%
9
0
1
1
3
0
4
5
2-5
40%
7-13
3-6
54%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.5
23.2
6.7
2
16%
3
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
1-5
0-1
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.6
23.0
14.1
9
59%
9
0
0
0
1
2
4
5
5-6
83%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.4
19.3
19.0
2
25%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.4
13.9
3.0
12
55%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
0-1
56%
41%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.7
12.7
23.1
8
49%
2
1
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-5
80%
2-5
3-5
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.2
7.0
3.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.8
11.9
1
1-1
41%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.8
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
33.3
37.5
20
77%
11
1
1
2
4
4
1
10
0-0
-
7-9
5-9
78%
48%
2-4
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.0
29.8
26.4
12
55%
4
4
1
0
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.6
29.1
35.5
20
72%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
2-2
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
27.7
32.0
13
49%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
5-12
7-13
42%
50%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
24.9
19.7
0
0%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
23.1
22.0
21
74%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
3-5
60%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
4-6
67%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.1
15.4
16.4
5
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-3
33%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
14.7
16.5
2
41%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.1
13.3
18.0
0
0%
3
0
2
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.1
12.0
3.4
7
88%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.0
6.9
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
4.9
2.6
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.3
4.9
1.0
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.7
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.