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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Cavaliers26%9491
15Celtics74%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.8
38.5
25.6
11
39%
12
2
2
1
2
1
6
6
7-9
78%
2-10
3-7
20%
45%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.7
37.5
34.6
22
59%
4
2
2
1
0
3
1
3
2-4
50%
7-12
6-13
58%
48%
2-5
40%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
36.3
19.1
20
61%
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-3
67%
9-15
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.0
35.2
29.8
13
41%
4
4
1
1
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
6-11
4-9
55%
41%
0-4
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
34.0
37.2
11
46%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
1-3
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
16.9
30.0
3
30%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
14.0
4.3
3
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-2
50%
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.3
11.2
2.2
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
0-0
20%
42%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.9
10.1
4.2
3
26%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-5
1-1
20%
44%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
6.5
8.5
3
61%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.8
21.4
1
1-2
37%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.8
7.7
0
1-2
40%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.6
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.8
37.5
34.6
20
65%
4
8
2
2
1
4
0
4
6-10
60%
7-10
5-9
70%
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
34.9
27.8
15
83%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
3-5
60%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
33.6
32.2
40
102%
8
5
3
1
1
1
0
8
8-8
100%
7-9
5-9
78%
49%
6-7
86%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
30.8
27.1
12
58%
6
3
1
1
3
2
0
6
2-3
67%
5-8
6-11
63%
53%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.0
23.3
7.6
1
57%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
26.8
24.4
4
29%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
20.3
23.9
6
77%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
15.1
14.0
2
50%
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
14.4
23.2
3
31%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
3.3
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
13.4
0
2-3
58%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
6.8
0
1-2
48%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.