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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder59%100100
9Hawks41%9692
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
40.9
38.4
41
75%
13
3
0
1
2
6
1
12
9-10
90%
10-15
7-13
67%
53%
4-8
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
38.9
34.7
27
55%
3
11
2
2
1
3
1
2
8-8
100%
8-17
6-13
47%
46%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
33.9
33.1
4
22%
14
0
0
1
3
2
4
10
0-0
-
2-9
6-11
22%
55%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
29.9
25.5
9
56%
7
1
1
1
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
50%
3-5
60%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.1
28.0
22.6
2
20%
7
0
0
0
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.9
25.5
30.1
6
33%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-4
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.1
20.0
24.5
0
0%
1
4
2
1
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
59%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.5
9.1
12.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.8
8.7
9.1
6
77%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.6
5.2
2.0
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.7
3.7
0
0-1
42%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.4
0.8
0
0-0
50%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.7
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.0
42.1
33.6
17
42%
12
3
0
1
2
3
5
7
0-3
0%
7-15
6-12
47%
47%
1-4
25%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
34.3
36.2
13
42%
6
3
3
1
0
1
1
5
3-3
100%
5-14
6-12
36%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.5
33.3
29.5
19
73%
1
9
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
8-11
4-8
73%
48%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.8
32.0
26.2
9
45%
5
3
4
1
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
3-7
43%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.7
21.4
16.7
0
0%
5
1
2
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
27.4
30.7
13
43%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-10
3-7
20%
45%
3-5
60%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.9
18.5
14.7
6
38%
10
0
0
0
0
0
5
5
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
10.9
12.4
8
55%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
3-3
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
10.3
7.8
6
53%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.8
5.9
4.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.7
4.0
16.6
1
13%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.4
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.9
2.2
0
0-1
42%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.