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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2676ers24%96103
10Rockets76%105125
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
34.9
34.8
17
62%
6
5
1
1
1
3
0
6
3-4
75%
7-12
6-12
58%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
30.6
28.0
11
55%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-3
33%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.1
20.7
38.9
6
43%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
6-13
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.6
14.3
11.3
2
20%
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.8
4.1
16.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
39.8
24.3
20
60%
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
6
3-4
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
34.7
27.9
21
52%
4
4
1
1
1
0
1
3
3-5
60%
6-14
3-6
43%
44%
2-4
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
24.7
11.7
10
51%
7
2
0
0
1
0
5
2
2-4
50%
4-8
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
23.5
25.7
14
50%
6
0
0
0
0
4
5
1
6-7
86%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.9
9.0
6.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
3.6
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
14.7
1
2-5
46%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
3.5
0
0-0
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
37.5
36.4
33
83%
2
7
0
2
1
2
0
2
17-18
94%
5-9
5-10
56%
53%
2-3
67%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
35.3
36.4
9
35%
5
4
3
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
1-7
14%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
31.7
32.1
18
70%
2
6
1
2
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
7-9
4-7
78%
48%
1-3
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
31.6
26.3
17
78%
15
0
0
1
0
0
3
12
7-9
78%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
31.3
25.3
14
75%
5
5
0
1
1
3
1
4
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
2-3
67%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
25.1
19.7
17
77%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
5-8
63%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
17.2
23.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
13.1
18.0
13
96%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
5-5
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
8.0
0.7
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
3.2
3.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
3.2
2.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
2.8
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
13.5
0
2-4
50%
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.