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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Warriors56%102127
27Kings44%100131
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
44.5
36.0
29
74%
8
5
1
1
0
2
4
4
5-6
83%
12-17
8-15
71%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
41.8
38.0
32
63%
6
4
1
2
1
4
0
6
3-3
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
7-12
58%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
36.5
32.5
11
56%
5
5
2
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
3-6
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.6
16.3
21.4
4
33%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.2
13.3
10.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
31.8
31.1
28
75%
7
3
0
1
0
4
2
5
5-6
83%
7-11
4-8
64%
48%
3-5
60%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.3
24.4
24.5
14
72%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
53%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
18.5
21.2
2
17%
5
3
0
1
1
0
4
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
6.8
5.2
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
55%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.8
4.2
8.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.5
2.2
6.8
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.5
1.5
0
0-1
47%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.5
1.1
0
0-0
44%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.5
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
37.9
26.9
24
60%
7
5
2
1
1
5
3
4
14-18
78%
5-12
6-13
42%
46%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
35.1
27.4
17
54%
6
5
1
1
1
1
1
5
5-6
83%
6-12
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
34.8
27.8
10
36%
15
3
0
1
3
0
5
10
0-0
-
5-14
4-8
36%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
29.6
25.4
23
89%
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
47%
3-3
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
11.5
19.1
5
133%
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-1
100%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
31.1
7.1
19
63%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
5-10
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
17.9
17.5
3
80%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
17.7
20.6
11
79%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
14.7
17.3
15
71%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
8-8
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
4.9
16.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
4.9
16.4
4
42%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
8.4
0
1-2
42%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.