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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets61%10293
21Trail Blazers39%99101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.1
36.6
34.1
13
42%
3
8
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
51%
0-4
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
26.9
31.7
6
26%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
4-4
100%
1-8
4-7
13%
48%
0-2
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
26.8
33.6
13
42%
5
4
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-6
50%
5-7
3-7
71%
49%
0-6
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.8
19.8
25.4
7
90%
9
0
0
1
2
1
2
7
1-2
50%
3-3
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
17.5
27.0
6
30%
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
55%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.8
28.9
24.6
13
51%
9
0
2
1
0
1
3
6
5-6
83%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-3
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.8
27.8
23.8
12
40%
9
7
0
1
0
1
0
9
2-2
100%
5-12
3-5
42%
48%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
15.5
15.7
7
39%
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
56%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
13.1
7.6
6
40%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-3
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.4
10.1
7.3
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
9.2
4.3
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.4
7.8
4.8
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
39.6
36.1
22
67%
6
3
1
1
2
1
2
4
3-3
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
5-9
56%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
38.7
13.5
20
50%
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-10
1-3
30%
46%
4-9
44%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.4
35.4
37.0
12
36%
4
10
1
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
2-8
4-9
25%
46%
1-6
17%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
34.3
27.5
18
48%
18
0
0
1
3
1
6
12
4-6
67%
7-16
5-9
44%
51%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.9
14.9
4.2
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
26.3
22.6
14
64%
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
8
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
4-7
57%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
14.2
19.8
2
50%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.8
13.7
10.2
7
66%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
12.8
12.7
4
29%
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
40%
0-2
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.3
7.2
12.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
2.9
8.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
36.2
1
8-16
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
2.4
0
0-0
41%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.