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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Bulls46%9375
14Hawks54%9492
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
33.8
39.9
11
38%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-13
6-13
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
33.8
39.6
10
56%
9
1
1
1
1
6
2
7
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
25.8
30.1
7
32%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
44%
1-4
25%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
22.4
38.6
4
40%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.1
22.2
27.8
8
52%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
2-6
6-12
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
27.8
24.0
9
90%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
1-1
100%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
22.2
18.0
9
53%
1
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
17.5
13.5
4
40%
5
2
0
0
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.8
16.2
4.4
8
45%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
4-7
0-1
57%
42%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
12.0
1.3
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.1
6.3
1.0
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
1-2
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
7.7
0
1-3
45%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
33.9
35.4
20
78%
10
2
0
1
1
1
3
7
2-2
100%
9-12
6-12
75%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.0
32.0
32.8
12
50%
5
4
3
1
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
6-11
6-12
55%
48%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
31.1
28.4
16
64%
4
3
0
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.5
29.9
27.3
11
46%
3
8
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.8
27.0
25.2
13
73%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.9
21.1
21.0
6
44%
8
4
3
1
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
20.9
14.4
7
47%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
16.1
7.8
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.7
14.8
14.2
6
75%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.4
6.9
4.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.8
6.3
5.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.7
17.6
0
0-1
38%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.9
2.9
0
0-1
42%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.