Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Jazz	28%	95	89	96.7	92	95.6
	5	Heat	72%	103	105	112.9	93	90.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Jefferson C · 6'10" 280 · 28	31.8	6	33%	11	2	0	2	1	2	1	10	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 28	29.1	11	50%	5	1	1	0	3	3	2	3	5-6	83%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 27	27.3	16	67%	4	1	0	0	1	1	3	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-5	40%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 29	22.8	2	11%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-4	0%
Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 30	16.3	5	83%	2	4	1	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Gordon Hayward F · 6'8" 226 · 23	26.6	15	94%	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	1	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	2-2	100%
Derrick Favors F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21	23.5	10	45%	4	0	2	0	1	2	2	2	6-6	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 34	17.1	2	33%	2	4	2	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 26	15.1	3	30%	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jamaal Tinsley G · 6'3" 188 · 35	14.1	8	100%	0	3	1	0	2	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Enes Kanter C · 6'11" 245 · 21	10.6	4	100%	3	0	1	0	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Alec Burks G · 6'5" 214 · 21	2.9	5	63%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jeremy Evans F · 6'9" 200 · 25	2.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Raja Bell #19 · G · 6'5" 210 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Murphy #55 · G · 6'6" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	52%	38	18	10	2	19	0	11	27	22-26	85%	23-57	40%	7-16	44%

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19 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Jefferson C · 6'10" 280 · 28	31.8	6	33%	11	2	0	2	1	2	1	10	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 28	29.1	11	50%	5	1	1	0	3	3	2	3	5-6	83%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 27	27.3	16	67%	4	1	0	0	1	1	3	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-5	40%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 29	22.8	2	11%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-4	0%
Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 30	16.3	5	83%	2	4	1	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Gordon Hayward F · 6'8" 226 · 23	26.6	15	94%	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	1	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	2-2	100%
Derrick Favors F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21	23.5	10	45%	4	0	2	0	1	2	2	2	6-6	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 34	17.1	2	33%	2	4	2	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 26	15.1	3	30%	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jamaal Tinsley G · 6'3" 188 · 35	14.1	8	100%	0	3	1	0	2	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Enes Kanter C · 6'11" 245 · 21	10.6	4	100%	3	0	1	0	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Alec Burks G · 6'5" 214 · 21	2.9	5	63%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jeremy Evans F · 6'9" 200 · 25	2.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Raja Bell #19 · G · 6'5" 210 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Murphy #55 · G · 6'6" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	52%	38	18	10	2	19	0	11	27	22-26	85%	23-57	40%	7-16	44%

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5 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	37.5	30	60%	9	7	0	0	4	0	1	8	7-10	70%	10-19	53%	1-1	100%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	34.3	21	62%	7	7	2	0	4	2	1	6	5-6	83%	8-12	67%	0-2	0%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 34	34.0	15	83%	3	1	1	3	0	1	0	3	3-3	100%	0-0	-	4-8	50%
Udonis Haslem C · 6'8" 235 · 33	30.4	6	50%	9	2	1	1	0	4	0	9	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	26.4	5	50%	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 37	24.5	13	108%	3	1	2	0	0	1	0	3	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	19.7	5	42%	1	2	2	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 30	15.7	4	50%	3	0	1	1	3	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	12.0	6	100%	0	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Terrel Harris G · 6'4" 190 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 25	1.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh Harrellson #55 · F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	61%	39	23	12	5	16	0	6	33	18-22	82%	27-49	55%	11-24	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.03 51.7%

MIA

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

14

27

52%

MIA

14

19

74%

Midrange

UTA

9

30

30%

MIA

13

30

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

7

10.5

16

44%

66%

MIA

11

16.5

24

46%

69%

Free Throws

UTA

22

26

85%

MIA

18

22

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Williams	16	67%	8.0 / 12
G. Hayward	15	94%	7.5 / 8
P. Millsap	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Favors	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Tinsley	8	100%	4.0 / 4
A. Jefferson	6	33%	3.0 / 9
M. Williams	5	83%	2.5 / 3
A. Burks	5	63%	2.5 / 4
E. Kanter	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Carroll	3	30%	1.5 / 5
R. Foye	2	11%	1.0 / 9
E. Watson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Evans	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	30	60%	15.0 / 25
D. Wade	21	62%	10.5 / 17
S. Battier	15	83%	7.5 / 9
R. Allen	13	108%	6.5 / 6
U. Haslem	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Miller	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Chalmers	5	50%	2.5 / 5
N. Cole	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Anthony	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 106.4 1 112.1	UTA 96.7 MIA 112.9 +16.2
Pace	18 91.3 23 90.9	UTA 95.6 +4.9 MIA 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time	7 16.2 10 16.0	UTA 15.1 −0.8 MIA 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 49.2% 1 55.2%	UTA 45.9% MIA 59.6% +13.7%
TO %	19 15.4% 7 14.5%	UTA 19.1% MIA 16.2% −2.9%
ORB %	8 28.8% 27 22.2%	UTA 25.0% +6.8% MIA 18.2%
FTrt	12 28.1 8 29.7	UTA 35.6 +5.5 MIA 30.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 61.0% 13 60.0%	UTA 60.0% MIA 60.5% +0.5%
STL %	5 9.2% 4 9.5%	UTA 10.9% MIA 12.9% +2.0%
BLK %	3 10.2% 9 9.1%	UTA 4.1% MIA 8.8% +4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 51.9% 1 57.0%	UTA 51.7% MIA 61.0% +9.3%
Rim FG%	10 58.8% 1 65.9%	UTA 51.9% MIA 73.7% +21.8%
Mid FG%	23 38.2% 4 41.9%	UTA 30.0% MIA 43.3% +13.3%
3P %	8 36.6% 2 39.6%	UTA 43.8% MIA 45.8% +2.0%
FT %	12 76.5% 16 75.4%	UTA 84.6% +2.8% MIA 81.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.4% 21 34.8%	UTA 37.0% +11.0% MIA 26.0%
Mid Att. %	22 43.0% 10 36.7%	UTA 41.1% MIA 41.1%
3P Att. %	28 20.6% 5 28.5%	UTA 21.9% MIA 32.9% +11.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Game Totals	UTA	MIA
Possessions	92	93
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.6
Points	89	105
Rebounds	38	39
Assists	18	23
Steals	10	12
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	33 (2)
Field Goals	30-73	38-73
At-the-Rim FG	14-27	14-19
Midrange FG	9-30	13-30
2-Point FG	23-57	27-49
3-Point FG	7-16	11-24
Free Throws	22-26	18-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg