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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pacers61%9481
26Hornets39%9075
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.6
39.0
33.9
12
61%
5
6
0
1
1
3
1
4
3-4
75%
0-3
4-8
0%
49%
3-5
60%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
38.0
35.2
17
49%
12
4
2
2
0
3
1
11
4-5
80%
5-10
4-9
50%
49%
1-5
20%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
34.3
31.1
25
57%
7
2
0
1
0
1
4
3
3-4
75%
11-18
6-12
61%
51%
0-2
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
34.3
25.9
10
50%
2
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.0
28.1
26.2
6
34%
9
1
1
0
5
1
3
6
0-2
0%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
20.5
14.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.1
19.9
18.5
6
40%
4
0
0
1
3
1
1
3
0-1
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
52%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.1
13.7
15.0
4
67%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.1
7.2
5.1
1
13%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.0
5.0
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.7
2.8
0
0-1
51%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.3
2.2
0
0-1
50%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.8
0.7
0
0-0
43%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.7
38.0
22.8
24
71%
11
1
2
0
6
0
4
7
2-2
100%
11-16
4-8
69%
51%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.9
35.6
32.1
14
40%
4
8
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
5-13
4-8
38%
45%
1-4
25%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
33.8
35.0
10
36%
9
1
0
1
1
0
4
5
0-0
-
5-14
5-11
36%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
29.4
27.1
7
27%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
3-12
2-6
25%
40%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
22.3
16.3
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
26.2
32.0
6
33%
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
20.1
10.0
5
43%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
15.5
17.1
4
67%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.1
12.4
15.7
3
38%
1
3
2
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
6.7
16.6
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
6.9
0
0-1
44%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
6.9
0
1-2
46%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.8
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.