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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Grizzlies44%9696
9Rockets56%98121
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
28.6
34.6
6
50%
4
4
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
6-13
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
28.1
34.3
16
62%
1
6
3
2
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
7-12
3-7
58%
46%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.9
27.2
31.2
11
63%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
4-7
5-9
57%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
26.3
33.2
10
63%
10
3
0
1
1
1
2
8
0-0
-
5-8
6-13
63%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.9
18.8
29.0
11
62%
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
27.8
17.6
14
54%
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
2-6
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
22.7
15.0
8
50%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
21.4
14.0
5
36%
4
5
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
15.7
14.5
6
75%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.7
13.8
1.3
5
43%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
5.6
13.8
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.6
4.1
3.4
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.7
0.8
0
0-0
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
34.7
31.5
15
55%
6
11
2
2
1
2
0
6
4-4
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
1-5
20%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
31.3
27.0
16
95%
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
0
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
3-4
75%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
30.4
36.3
31
85%
2
8
3
1
0
3
0
2
10-12
83%
6-10
5-10
60%
51%
3-3
100%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
29.8
35.4
7
50%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
23.5
27.9
14
60%
12
1
0
1
1
3
4
8
4-6
67%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
26.8
21.5
10
37%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
40%
1-4
25%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
26.7
20.9
11
61%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
3-8
38%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
20.3
16.0
10
83%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
51%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
4.1
3.7
3
52%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
4.1
3.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
39%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
4.1
2.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
4.1
1.4
2
100%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
38%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.