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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats13%9588
8Nuggets87%110110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.6
36.2
34.9
8
27%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-11
5-12
36%
43%
0-4
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.2
33.5
29.5
11
70%
4
1
0
1
3
5
2
2
1-2
50%
5-6
4-9
83%
47%
0-1
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
32.1
29.8
16
51%
14
4
1
1
2
2
4
10
2-4
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
42%
2-6
33%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.6
24.1
15.3
4
20%
8
2
3
0
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-8
1-2
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.3
21.1
29.1
3
32%
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
29.0
22.5
23
68%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
7-9
78%
8-12
3-7
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
21.1
6.9
10
38%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
3-7
1-1
43%
48%
1-5
20%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.9
19.9
3.9
2
20%
7
3
0
0
5
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.5
16.9
10.8
7
41%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
3-6
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.1
3.0
15.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.9
2.9
1.9
4
106%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
29.3
1
5-11
44%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
10.7
0
1-3
44%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
28.7
30.4
15
76%
8
8
2
1
0
1
0
8
2-2
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
52%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.8
24.6
22.9
16
80%
4
0
0
1
5
0
1
3
0-0
-
8-10
3-6
80%
58%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
23.3
23.1
15
64%
9
4
2
1
3
0
3
6
3-4
75%
6-10
4-7
60%
57%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
21.5
29.5
12
51%
3
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
50%
3-6
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.1
16.6
34.7
0
0%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
5-10
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.8
25.7
25.1
0
0%
1
8
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.8
19.8
26.0
10
45%
4
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
51%
0-3
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
17.6
15.7
14
88%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
7-8
3-6
88%
59%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
17.2
10.2
11
44%
5
2
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-1
0%
4-8
1-3
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
15.6
6.4
8
58%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
55%
1-1
100%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.4
14.6
6.0
6
51%
3
0
0
0
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.4
8.4
8.6
3
52%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
6.3
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.