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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2376ers34%9492
15Nets66%9995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
41.8
35.3
15
47%
7
2
0
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
6-13
5-11
46%
45%
1-3
33%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
37.9
22.7
24
68%
6
9
0
1
1
2
2
4
3-4
75%
6-13
4-8
46%
46%
3-3
100%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
37.2
36.1
18
60%
10
1
1
1
0
1
4
6
2-2
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
51%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
30.1
23.1
12
55%
9
1
0
0
0
0
5
4
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
29.5
29.5
5
25%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
1-5
20%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.1
28.8
25.0
8
45%
6
2
3
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.7
20.2
22.8
5
25%
4
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-9
4-8
22%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
12.3
22.0
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.0
2.2
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.8
8.3
0
1-2
50%
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.6
7.9
0
1-2
40%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
40.4
38.0
22
56%
7
2
1
1
0
3
2
5
3-6
50%
5-12
5-9
42%
49%
3-5
60%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
38.3
34.5
16
57%
6
5
0
1
1
1
1
5
5-7
71%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
37.0
34.4
14
67%
9
6
2
1
0
2
1
8
7-8
88%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.6
35.2
12.9
13
108%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
3-4
75%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.7
27.2
27.1
14
42%
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
4
4-6
67%
5-14
7-13
36%
51%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
20.8
18.6
10
63%
4
0
2
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
47%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
13.9
18.8
2
29%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
40%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.1
12.8
18.8
4
25%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-5
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.6
11.0
17.9
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
3.3
1.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
19.7
0
2-5
49%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.9
8.7
0
1-3
48%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.