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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Mavericks23%9691
1Spurs77%106129
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
28.4
33.0
7
39%
2
6
2
1
0
6
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.6
23.4
32.1
4
29%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
20.7
20.4
10
56%
3
2
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
20.3
22.9
5
26%
2
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
3-6
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
41%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
18.5
21.2
7
61%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.3
24.5
21.1
15
70%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
6-9
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.5
20.0
29.7
8
82%
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
2-3
6-12
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.9
19.1
25.1
13
69%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
43%
2-5
40%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
16.3
18.9
9
65%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
13.7
15.2
8
59%
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
57%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
13.6
7.1
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
12.0
9.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
9.5
3
85%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
28.5
31.5
18
75%
1
6
1
1
1
4
1
0
6-7
86%
3-7
6-12
43%
52%
2-2
100%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
26.1
16.9
17
72%
4
2
5
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
3-7
43%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.7
23.2
31.0
15
47%
5
4
1
1
2
1
0
5
1-2
50%
7-15
7-13
47%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
22.5
24.2
25
125%
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
7-8
88%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.0
21.3
24.4
5
43%
7
0
1
1
1
1
1
6
3-4
75%
1-4
4-7
25%
60%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
21.5
18.7
14
75%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
2-3
67%
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
21.1
21.4
6
68%
4
9
4
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
19.3
23.3
7
70%
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
1-1
100%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
13.1
13.4
2
33%
3
5
2
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
12.0
8.1
7
88%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
1-1
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.7
12.0
6.8
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
10.5
7.1
8
133%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
2-2
100%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
8.9
22.9
3
38%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.