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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Trail Blazers47%10096
27Kings53%101108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
38.2
39.1
17
56%
3
8
1
1
1
3
1
2
7-7
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
2-8
25%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
38.1
29.5
22
50%
11
1
3
1
2
1
4
7
2-2
100%
10-20
6-13
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.4
35.9
36.5
15
54%
2
7
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
47%
3-6
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
32.2
33.4
14
66%
11
0
0
1
0
2
4
7
4-6
67%
5-8
6-11
63%
51%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.3
20.9
12.0
2
20%
5
1
3
0
0
3
4
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
20.7
4.3
7
58%
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
16.6
12.6
0
0%
0
3
2
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-3
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.8
14.3
9.5
8
82%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
13.3
19.7
5
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
6.4
18.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.9
3.4
6.4
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
19.7
1
2-4
46%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.5
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
34.8
20.0
22
61%
4
4
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
8-13
2-4
62%
50%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
31.8
29.2
15
63%
7
7
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
26.8
23.8
8
67%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
2-3
67%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
22.9
16.1
10
63%
3
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
21.0
28.5
10
51%
6
2
1
1
0
3
0
6
0-2
0%
5-9
5-9
56%
53%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
24.4
20.1
6
100%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
21.2
22.1
11
65%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
20.3
14.3
4
41%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
17.8
18.6
7
44%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
16.2
4.9
15
95%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-6
0-1
83%
43%
1-1
100%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
2.8
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
26.2
1
5-12
46%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
11.2
0
1-2
49%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.