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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Celtics44%9493
15Nets56%9676
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.8
36.3
37.1
19
58%
6
5
3
2
0
1
4
2
1-1
100%
6-14
5-9
43%
50%
2-2
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
30.8
34.3
8
37%
5
10
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
30.0
29.0
11
79%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
3-4
75%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
29.5
30.1
8
50%
10
1
2
1
2
2
1
9
0-0
-
4-8
6-12
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
13.3
13.2
4
40%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
32.8
13.6
16
83%
7
2
1
0
1
1
0
7
4-6
67%
6-7
2-3
86%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
28.3
21.8
15
77%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
19.2
22.9
8
36%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
17.6
22.7
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
1.3
0.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
1.0
4.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
6.6
0
1-1
47%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
4.6
0
1-1
45%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
42.0
38.2
12
39%
4
2
0
1
1
2
0
4
1-3
33%
1-6
5-10
17%
48%
3-8
38%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.7
36.5
26.9
15
47%
8
1
0
0
2
4
1
7
5-9
56%
5-12
7-14
42%
51%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
36.2
35.7
10
60%
2
6
0
1
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
27.8
34.9
15
63%
6
1
3
1
0
3
1
5
7-11
64%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.6
15.1
23.6
3
150%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
22.9
19.5
6
33%
7
1
1
1
2
3
6
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.1
16.8
16.4
7
44%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
1-4
25%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
14.9
16.0
3
75%
1
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.6
14.6
14.4
5
58%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
1-3
33%
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.9
6.0
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
4.8
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
1.3
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
1.3
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.