for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets43%97120
10Bulls57%9997
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
36.5
32.4
23
72%
5
2
2
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
4-5
80%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
35.9
33.2
26
69%
5
6
2
1
1
1
1
4
11-13
85%
6-11
5-9
55%
50%
1-2
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
35.0
25.6
20
70%
18
1
0
1
3
0
5
13
2-3
67%
9-13
3-6
69%
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
34.3
32.3
20
73%
1
11
1
2
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
28.5
28.3
10
51%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
2-7
29%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
25.8
23.2
7
58%
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
22.3
23.6
6
43%
1
1
0
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
40%
0-2
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
10.4
17.7
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
3.5
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
2.6
3.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
2.6
3.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
2.6
2.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
11.1
0
2-3
48%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
35.9
37.4
14
44%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
48%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
35.5
32.2
15
66%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
2-5
40%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
31.9
37.1
8
103%
9
4
1
1
2
5
2
7
2-2
100%
3-3
5-10
100%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.1
21.7
25.6
6
27%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-11
6-11
27%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
20.7
28.3
4
25%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
27.6
19.1
27
71%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
5-7
71%
5-8
3-5
63%
48%
4-8
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
23.4
24.9
6
60%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
19.6
14.9
9
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.8
17.6
8.7
8
40%
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-10
1-2
40%
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.1
3.5
2.8
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
2.6
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
7.2
0
1-3
46%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.