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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets31%95100
3Clippers69%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
32.9
23.1
6
33%
9
2
1
1
2
1
4
5
0-0
-
3-9
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.1
32.0
27.4
15
55%
3
5
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-6
67%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.8
27.2
23.4
16
100%
10
1
1
0
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
8-8
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
26.6
29.4
9
46%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
24.2
26.2
7
29%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
44%
0-3
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.8
23.4
25.1
12
54%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.8
20.6
23.3
2
26%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
19.1
16.4
9
57%
6
0
0
0
2
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
16.9
13.1
16
81%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
2-2
100%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
4.4
10.2
4
100%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.4
4.4
9.4
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.4
4.4
8.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
3.8
3.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.6
31.6
30.1
14
59%
4
8
3
2
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
2-4
50%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.8
25.8
31.3
13
50%
6
6
1
1
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
6-12
7-13
50%
55%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
19.1
20.8
6
61%
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
2
0-2
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
61%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.4
17.1
19.1
11
92%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
3-4
75%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.8
16.3
21.9
4
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.8
31.7
24.9
20
61%
8
3
3
1
2
1
3
5
1-3
33%
5-10
2-4
50%
55%
3-5
60%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.8
30.9
25.1
22
49%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-3
33%
6-15
3-7
40%
46%
3-6
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.1
30.4
19.8
6
43%
10
4
1
0
1
2
3
7
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-3
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.9
16.9
15.9
2
50%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.0
16.4
18.6
12
60%
0
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
6-7
86%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.2
3.8
6.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.2
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.