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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets37%9397
21Magic63%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.9
41.5
32.7
27
62%
6
8
1
1
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
11-17
4-9
65%
45%
1-4
25%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
33.4
34.1
12
43%
11
2
2
1
2
0
3
8
0-0
-
6-14
6-11
43%
48%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.7
32.9
27.1
29
95%
3
0
0
1
3
1
1
2
11-12
92%
9-10
5-9
90%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
27.6
27.5
4
29%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
22.2
17.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
29.7
29.8
15
55%
5
2
0
1
1
2
3
2
6-6
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
26.4
13.0
6
100%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
16.3
16.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.1
6.5
14.4
2
20%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
3.4
13.3
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
5.7
0
1-1
46%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
5.3
0
0-0
43%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
39.1
36.7
14
50%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
52%
2-7
29%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
38.2
37.9
28
78%
5
10
0
1
0
6
0
5
2-2
100%
7-9
4-8
78%
48%
4-8
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
32.8
33.6
19
49%
9
1
0
1
0
0
4
5
3-5
60%
8-16
5-10
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.7
27.5
25.6
4
50%
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
21.6
16.0
2
20%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
52%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.5
35.2
30.3
12
47%
5
6
2
1
0
1
1
4
6-6
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
50%
2-7
29%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
30.4
17.3
10
56%
6
2
1
0
3
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.8
13.0
5.9
5
83%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
2.2
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
16.0
0
3-6
47%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
3.8
0
0-1
51%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
1.9
0
0-0
41%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.5
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.8
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.