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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nets39%9393
18Bucks61%96108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
36.0
39.2
13
41%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
47%
1-4
25%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
33.6
31.3
8
41%
12
8
2
1
1
2
3
9
4-4
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
30.5
15.6
8
29%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-9
1-3
22%
39%
0-3
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.6
30.0
19.1
11
65%
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.7
28.3
31.1
21
52%
10
1
0
1
3
1
7
3
3-5
60%
9-18
8-15
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
20.0
1.1
7
58%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
42%
1-2
50%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.9
19.4
5.9
5
46%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
18.3
21.0
14
57%
5
0
3
1
3
3
2
3
4-5
80%
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.6
11.8
14.7
2
114%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.1
8.3
16.4
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
1.1
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
1.1
1.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.5
1.1
0
0-0
53%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
41.7
38.9
25
75%
4
6
1
2
0
5
1
3
4-4
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
46%
3-4
75%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
37.0
36.0
20
63%
6
7
6
1
1
4
2
4
3-4
75%
4-11
7-14
36%
48%
3-3
100%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
23.1
28.1
12
55%
12
1
1
1
1
2
2
10
0-0
-
6-11
3-7
55%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
20.8
21.3
5
50%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
19.1
27.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
27.3
21.7
17
64%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
2-6
33%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
26.8
20.9
17
81%
11
4
3
1
0
0
3
8
8-8
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
24.9
18.7
8
36%
8
0
0
1
3
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-11
2-4
36%
46%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
15.6
18.6
4
40%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
1.1
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
1.1
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
5.9
0
1-2
46%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
4.5
0
1-1
51%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.