Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Raptors	17%	94	80	88.9	90	86.9
	3	Spurs	83%	106	100	112.4	89	92.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	27.3	8	40%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	27.1	7	39%	4	10	1	0	3	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Ed Davis F · 6'10" 245 · 24	25.4	6	43%	7	1	2	1	2	3	3	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	20.6	5	50%	4	2	1	0	2	4	2	2	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	11.6	1	17%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	26.0	11	55%	1	1	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26	23.9	12	75%	6	1	1	1	0	4	2	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	20.9	11	50%	2	6	2	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Alan Anderson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	19.8	12	60%	1	1	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	18.6	2	50%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	15.7	5	28%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	1-3	33%
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	3.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry #3 · G · 6'0" 196 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	47%	35	24	10	2	15	0	10	25	7-12	58%	26-60	43%	7-18	39%

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23 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	27.3	8	40%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	27.1	7	39%	4	10	1	0	3	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Ed Davis F · 6'10" 245 · 24	25.4	6	43%	7	1	2	1	2	3	3	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	20.6	5	50%	4	2	1	0	2	4	2	2	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	11.6	1	17%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	26.0	11	55%	1	1	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26	23.9	12	75%	6	1	1	1	0	4	2	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	20.9	11	50%	2	6	2	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Alan Anderson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	19.8	12	60%	1	1	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	18.6	2	50%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	15.7	5	28%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	1-3	33%
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	3.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry #3 · G · 6'0" 196 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	47%	35	24	10	2	15	0	10	25	7-12	58%	26-60	43%	7-18	39%

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 31	29.3	13	59%	3	7	1	0	2	1	0	3	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 37	27.0	15	58%	6	2	0	2	3	0	1	5	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 21	24.2	9	56%	10	2	3	0	3	2	1	9	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 26	21.0	8	100%	4	0	3	0	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 28	20.4	10	56%	2	3	0	1	1	1	1	1	8-10	80%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 35	26.9	14	88%	5	3	0	0	2	3	2	3	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Stephen Jackson G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35	24.3	4	25%	4	3	1	2	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31	22.2	10	71%	3	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 26	18.7	4	100%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	11.6	8	44%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	2-4	50%
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24	9.1	2	50%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 24	5.3	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	\| DND - strained right calf
Cory Joseph #5 · G · 6'2" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	59%	44	25	11	5	17	0	10	34	24-29	83%	26-52	50%	8-19	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.93 46.5%

SAS

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

9

19

47%

SAS

16

23

70%

Midrange

TOR

17

41

41%

SAS

10

29

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

7

10.5

18

39%

58%

SAS

8

12.0

19

42%

63%

Free Throws

TOR

7

12

58%

SAS

24

29

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Johnson	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Anderson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Ross	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Lucas III	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. DeRozan	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Calderon	7	39%	3.5 / 9
E. Davis	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Gray	5	50%	2.5 / 5
L. Kleiza	5	28%	2.5 / 9
L. Fields	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Pietrus	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	15	58%	7.5 / 13
M. Ginobili	14	88%	7.0 / 8
T. Parker	13	59%	6.5 / 11
T. Splitter	10	56%	5.0 / 9
B. Diaw	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Leonard	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Green	8	100%	4.0 / 4
M. Bonner	8	44%	4.0 / 9
S. Jackson	4	25%	2.0 / 8
N. De Colo	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Mills	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Blair	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 105.6 8 107.8	TOR 88.9 SAS 112.4 +23.5
Pace	24 90.7 5 94.7	TOR 86.9 SAS 92.3 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time	8 16.2 19 15.4	TOR 16.6 SAS 15.6 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 48.8% 2 53.1%	TOR 46.8% SAS 53.5% +6.7%
TO %	6 14.4% 9 14.8%	TOR 15.3% −1.6% SAS 16.9%
ORB %	19 25.6% 29 20.7%	TOR 22.7% SAS 28.6% +5.9%
FTrt	13 27.4 21 25.8	TOR 15.4 SAS 40.8 +25.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 59.2% 3 64.1%	TOR 72.7% SAS 73.5% +0.8%
STL %	21 7.9% 8 8.9%	TOR 11.1% SAS 12.4% +1.3%
BLK %	16 7.9% 13 8.1%	TOR 3.8% SAS 8.3% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 51.9% 3 55.3%	TOR 46.5% SAS 58.8% +12.3%
Rim FG%	7 59.3% 5 60.8%	TOR 47.4% SAS 69.6% +22.2%
Mid FG%	16 39.2% 2 42.4%	TOR 41.5% +7.0% SAS 34.5%
3P %	26 34.3% 4 37.6%	TOR 38.9% SAS 42.1% +3.2%
FT %	5 78.8% 3 79.1%	TOR 58.3% SAS 82.8% +24.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 32.6% 10 37.7%	TOR 24.4% SAS 32.4% +8.0%
Mid Att. %	21 42.5% 7 35.9%	TOR 52.6% SAS 40.8% −11.7%
3P Att. %	10 24.9% 9 26.4%	TOR 23.1% SAS 26.8% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	SAS
Possessions	90	89
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	80	100
Rebounds	35	44
Assists	24	25
Steals	10	11
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (0)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	34 (2)
Field Goals	33-78	34-71
At-the-Rim FG	9-19	16-23
Midrange FG	17-41	10-29
2-Point FG	26-60	26-52
3-Point FG	7-18	8-19
Free Throws	7-12	24-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg