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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Raptors18%9480
3Spurs82%107100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
27.3
36.5
8
40%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-9
6-13
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
27.1
32.6
7
39%
4
10
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
25.4
27.5
6
43%
7
1
2
1
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
20.6
2.8
5
53%
4
2
1
0
0
2
2
2
1-4
25%
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
11.6
19.5
1
17%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
26.0
18.2
11
55%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
23.9
27.2
12
75%
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
20.9
13.5
11
51%
2
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
1-4
33%
39%
2-4
50%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
19.8
25.3
12
60%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
35%
2-4
50%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
18.6
8.4
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.0
15.7
17.0
5
28%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-5
2-3
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.2
3.0
1.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.8
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.2
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
29.3
30.0
13
57%
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
4-8
6-11
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.7
27.0
27.5
15
59%
6
2
0
1
2
3
1
5
3-4
75%
6-11
6-12
55%
52%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
24.2
21.0
9
53%
10
2
3
1
0
3
1
9
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
56%
0-3
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
21.0
23.4
8
82%
4
0
3
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
2-4
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.0
20.4
22.8
10
60%
2
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
8-10
80%
1-4
4-6
25%
61%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
26.9
21.3
14
85%
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-5
80%
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
2-2
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
24.3
19.8
4
25%
4
3
1
1
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
22.2
21.3
10
63%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
56%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
18.7
13.1
4
100%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
11.6
8.8
8
45%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-4
0-1
0%
50%
2-4
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.7
9.1
9.6
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
5.3
10.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-1
100%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
17.2
0
2-4
49%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.