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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 27, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Mavericks19%94105
1Thunder81%106111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.3
40.0
22.3
32
70%
5
4
4
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
9-18
2-5
50%
47%
4-4
100%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
35.8
30.9
4
24%
3
5
1
1
1
6
0
3
1-3
33%
0-2
3-8
0%
44%
1-5
20%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.6
34.1
28.5
14
51%
9
7
0
1
1
1
3
6
4-4
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
30.1
20.3
17
55%
8
0
0
0
2
0
2
6
3-3
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
15.0
20.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.5
26.5
23.7
9
38%
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
46%
1-4
25%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.9
23.6
22.5
9
45%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
20.6
10.0
6
60%
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
15.0
4.7
4
40%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
12.9
21.6
6
55%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-4
2-6
25%
41%
1-1
100%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
11.3
17.7
4
82%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
14.7
0
3-4
57%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
7.6
0
1-2
47%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.6
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
48.8
38.5
40
62%
8
5
1
1
3
4
2
6
10-10
100%
9-20
7-14
45%
55%
4-8
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
41.6
40.3
16
38%
6
10
3
2
1
2
1
5
2-3
67%
7-17
8-16
41%
47%
0-3
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
41.6
35.4
19
70%
17
0
0
1
5
1
8
9
5-8
63%
7-10
6-11
70%
56%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
33.9
29.4
8
57%
2
2
3
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
2-6
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.1
23.4
24.2
0
0%
7
0
0
0
3
1
4
3
0-0
-
0-6
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.9
34.6
28.2
18
65%
7
2
1
1
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.2
18.3
20.2
2
53%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
60%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.7
11.4
12.2
6
43%
7
2
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.9
11.4
3.7
2
41%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
57%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.5
4.8
0
0-1
41%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.6
1.6
0
0-0
48%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.4
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.7
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.