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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 27, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Celtics28%9177
4Clippers72%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.8
34.2
36.2
10
42%
5
6
0
2
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-10
5-9
20%
48%
2-2
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
31.1
28.8
10
50%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
27.4
32.0
12
43%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
46%
0-2
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
25.7
29.3
16
63%
4
3
0
1
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
17.2
13.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
28.9
24.8
8
40%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
25.6
19.7
12
67%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
2-4
50%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
18.1
23.3
4
69%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
17.0
20.8
3
44%
9
2
1
0
0
1
2
7
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
8.4
1.2
1
17%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
6.5
2.3
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
6.7
0
1-2
44%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.6
28.9
30.3
8
35%
3
11
2
2
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
1-4
25%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.8
26.3
28.8
15
53%
8
1
1
1
0
2
3
5
3-7
43%
6-11
7-12
55%
55%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.8
24.6
19.4
14
58%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
2-6
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.4
24.4
18.0
9
64%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
3-4
75%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
17.7
20.2
7
81%
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
6
1-3
33%
3-3
3-5
100%
61%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.1
29.0
23.8
4
33%
13
5
0
1
4
0
1
12
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.8
23.6
27.0
17
54%
1
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
46%
1-4
25%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.8
23.4
27.2
21
76%
0
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
5-9
56%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.1
19.1
17.6
3
31%
3
4
6
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.0
17.2
16.0
4
69%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.2
5.8
5.5
4
63%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-5
40%
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.3
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.