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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Magic56%9597
28Wizards44%93105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
38.2
37.0
26
54%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
7-7
100%
8-15
5-10
53%
50%
1-6
17%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.7
35.2
25.7
8
50%
7
3
0
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
35.0
32.5
8
45%
11
3
0
1
1
3
1
10
0-2
0%
4-8
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
34.2
37.4
16
53%
3
8
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
4-7
57%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
16.3
18.4
6
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.5
34.9
32.3
23
64%
4
4
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
5-12
42%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.5
12.6
1.1
2
114%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
12.6
1.9
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.8
10.1
9.5
2
25%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
4.8
8.0
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
3.1
23.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
3.1
2.4
2
33%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
12.3
0
2-5
46%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.8
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.5
30.5
23.9
11
41%
1
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3-3
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
44%
0-3
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.3
29.9
26.6
2
14%
11
1
0
1
3
1
1
10
0-0
-
1-7
4-8
14%
53%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.3
29.1
21.7
23
75%
11
4
1
1
0
3
2
9
9-10
90%
7-11
4-7
64%
56%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
23.2
31.9
8
57%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
2-3
67%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.7
13.8
21.3
4
29%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
0-4
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.6
34.7
9.3
13
81%
6
6
2
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-5
1-1
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.2
34.2
30.9
27
80%
6
6
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
8-11
4-10
73%
46%
3-5
60%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.1
32.0
17.3
17
45%
6
1
0
0
4
1
2
4
1-2
50%
8-18
4-7
44%
50%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
8.6
18.9
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-2
0%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.7
3.9
18.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.1
9.9
0
1-2
43%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.5
5.7
0
1-1
45%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.2
5.5
0
0-1
43%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.