Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Magic	55%	95	97	102.1	95	97.0
	28	Wizards	45%	93	105	110.5	95	93.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	38.2	26	54%	4	2	2	0	1	2	1	3	7-7	100%	8-15	53%	1-6	17%
Gustavo Ayon F · 6'10" 250 · 28	35.2	8	50%	7	3	0	0	3	3	3	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	35.0	8	50%	11	3	0	1	3	3	1	10	0-2	0%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	34.2	16	53%	3	8	1	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-8	25%	4-7	57%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	16.3	6	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	34.9	23	64%	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	5-12	42%
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 23	12.6	2	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 24	12.6	2	50%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	10.1	2	25%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	4.8	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	3.1	2	33%	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Hedo Turkoglu #15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	52%	41	25	5	2	13	0	9	32	9-11	82%	29-58	50%	10-28	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	38.2	26	54%	4	2	2	0	1	2	1	3	7-7	100%	8-15	53%	1-6	17%
Gustavo Ayon F · 6'10" 250 · 28	35.2	8	50%	7	3	0	0	3	3	3	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	35.0	8	50%	11	3	0	1	3	3	1	10	0-2	0%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	34.2	16	53%	3	8	1	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-8	25%	4-7	57%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	16.3	6	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	34.9	23	64%	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	5-12	42%
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 23	12.6	2	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 24	12.6	2	50%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	10.1	2	25%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	4.8	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	3.1	2	33%	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Hedo Turkoglu #15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	52%	41	25	5	2	13	0	9	32	9-11	82%	29-58	50%	10-28	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 20	30.5	11	42%	1	4	1	1	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 30	29.9	2	14%	11	1	0	3	1	1	1	10	0-0	-	1-7	14%	0-0	-
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 30	29.1	23	72%	11	4	1	0	3	3	2	9	9-10	90%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Martell Webster F · 6'7" 230 · 26	23.2	8	57%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 23	13.8	4	29%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%

Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27	34.7	13	81%	6	6	2	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	5-5	100%	1-3	33%
Jordan Crawford · 6'4" 195 · 24	34.2	27	84%	6	6	1	0	1	1	2	4	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	3-5	60%
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23	32.0	17	45%	6	1	0	4	1	1	2	4	1-2	50%	8-18	44%	0-0	-
Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 28	8.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jan Vesely F · 7'0" 242 · 23	3.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Singleton F · 6'9" 228 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Trevor Ariza F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27	\| DND - Strained Left Calf
AJ Price G · 6'2" 195 · 26	\| DND - Fractured Right Hand
John Wall #2 · G · 6'4" 210 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Trevor Booker #35 · F · 6'8" 228 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	47	25	6	8	10	0	11	36	15-17	88%	36-68	53%	6-20	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.04 52.2%

WAS

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

15

27

56%

WAS

18

25

72%

Midrange

ORL

14

31

45%

WAS

18

43

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

10

15.0

28

36%

54%

WAS

6

9.0

20

30%

45%

Free Throws

ORL

9

11

82%

WAS

15

17

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo	26	54%	13.0 / 24
J. Redick	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Nelson	16	53%	8.0 / 15
G. Ayon	8	50%	4.0 / 8
N. Vučević	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Harkless	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Jones	2	100%	1.0 / 1
I. Smith	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. McRoberts	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Nicholson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. O'Quinn	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Crawford	27	84%	13.5 / 16
Nene	23	72%	11.5 / 16
K. Seraphin	17	45%	8.5 / 19
G. Temple	13	81%	6.5 / 8
B. Beal	11	42%	5.5 / 13
M. Webster	8	57%	4.0 / 7
S. Mack	4	29%	2.0 / 7
E. Okafor	2	14%	1.0 / 7
C. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 102.0 30 99.8	ORL 102.1 WAS 110.5 +8.4
Pace	16 91.9 13 92.7	ORL 97.0 +4.0 WAS 93.1
Avg. Poss. Time	13 15.7 23 15.3	ORL 14.8 −0.6 WAS 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 48.5% 25 47.5%	ORL 51.2% +0.1% WAS 51.1%
TO %	13 15.2% 26 15.6%	ORL 13.4% WAS 10.3% −3.1%
ORB %	22 25.4% 25 24.6%	ORL 20.0% WAS 25.6% +5.6%
FTrt	30 19.7 18 26.1	ORL 12.8 WAS 19.3 +6.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 60.5% 9 61.0%	ORL 64.1% +4.6% WAS 59.5%
STL %	30 7.0% 24 7.8%	ORL 5.3% WAS 6.3% +1.0%
BLK %	24 7.0% 21 7.5%	ORL 2.9% WAS 13.8% +10.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 50.2% 23 50.1%	ORL 52.2% WAS 53.6% +1.4%
Rim FG%	12 58.5% 25 55.3%	ORL 55.6% WAS 72.0% +16.4%
Mid FG%	13 39.6% 18 38.8%	ORL 45.2% +3.3% WAS 41.9%
3P %	29 32.9% 10 36.5%	ORL 35.7% +5.7% WAS 30.0%
FT %	15 75.5% 23 73.3%	ORL 81.8% WAS 88.2% +6.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 35.4% 28 31.3%	ORL 31.4% +3.0% WAS 28.4%
Mid Att. %	20 42.3% 30 46.3%	ORL 36.0% −12.8% WAS 48.9%
3P Att. %	20 22.3% 19 22.3%	ORL 32.6% +9.8% WAS 22.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	WAS
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	97	105
Rebounds	41	47
Assists	25	25
Steals	5	6
Blocks	2	8
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	36 (3)
Field Goals	39-86	42-88
At-the-Rim FG	15-27	18-25
Midrange FG	14-31	18-43
2-Point FG	29-58	36-68
3-Point FG	10-28	6-20
Free Throws	9-11	15-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg