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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Suns30%9091
12Pacers70%9797
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.6
40.7
22.3
19
46%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
7-14
2-4
50%
42%
1-6
17%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.7
35.0
22.4
12
40%
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
6-15
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
34.7
37.3
11
40%
6
2
1
1
1
0
3
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
52%
1-5
20%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
32.8
29.7
15
70%
10
2
1
1
0
1
2
8
3-4
75%
6-9
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.1
29.1
35.2
12
60%
5
3
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
6-8
4-9
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
17.0
16.1
10
57%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.2
15.2
15.2
6
51%
7
1
0
0
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.6
15.2
12.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.3
12.9
14.7
6
77%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
3-3
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
7.3
2.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
2.0
0
0-0
39%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
1.9
0
0-0
43%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.7
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
39.0
35.6
15
51%
4
2
0
2
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
2-7
5-9
29%
49%
2-5
40%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
36.8
28.3
10
46%
9
5
3
1
0
1
2
7
1-4
25%
3-7
2-5
43%
51%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
33.6
31.6
14
42%
7
2
1
1
1
3
3
4
4-4
100%
5-15
7-13
33%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
32.5
35.0
22
82%
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
3-4
75%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.0
31.9
26.6
8
37%
14
4
0
1
1
2
5
9
2-4
50%
3-9
5-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
20.3
19.3
8
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.1
16.1
18.6
6
39%
5
2
0
1
0
1
4
1
4-6
67%
1-5
2-4
20%
52%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.1
15.4
5.8
2
35%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.2
14.4
14.4
12
87%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
44%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
16.3
1
1-3
47%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.0
7.9
0
0-1
48%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.7
2.0
0
0-0
53%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.3
1.4
0
0-0
53%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.7
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.