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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat73%10199
26Pistons27%93109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
44.3
37.5
35
74%
6
5
6
2
1
3
1
5
3-4
75%
13-18
8-14
72%
55%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.8
39.5
29.8
28
71%
9
1
0
1
3
4
4
5
6-6
100%
11-16
5-9
69%
52%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
28.7
31.9
4
29%
2
4
0
2
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
50%
1-6
17%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.9
23.2
10.6
5
42%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
1-5
20%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
20.5
22.5
7
60%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.4
28.7
21.3
9
33%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
1-6
2-3
17%
50%
2-7
29%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
27.5
24.4
6
55%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-1
0%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
2-5
40%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
19.1
15.1
5
83%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
8.5
11.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
34.5
1
7-14
52%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
8.3
0
0-0
39%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.4
2.5
0
0-0
50%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
2.2
0
0-0
45%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.9
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.8
36.0
22.8
11
56%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
31.1
20.1
12
52%
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.6
27.8
25.5
6
47%
7
3
0
1
0
5
1
6
0-1
0%
3-6
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.1
20.4
25.1
7
62%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
4-6
67%
0-0
3-6
-
42%
1-3
33%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.9
19.1
20.3
9
57%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.6
28.9
21.7
11
94%
4
2
0
1
2
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
39%
2-2
100%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.0
27.6
20.1
25
72%
2
10
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
7-12
3-7
58%
44%
3-4
75%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.3
25.7
21.7
18
90%
6
0
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
4-5
80%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.4
23.4
25.1
10
71%
10
0
2
1
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
52%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
4.7
0
1-1
44%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.8
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
2.1
0
0-0
44%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.4
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.7
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.