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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets61%103106
18Mavericks39%10085
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.2
36.8
31.0
11
39%
4
6
0
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
4-11
4-9
36%
51%
1-3
33%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
34.5
28.8
39
79%
8
3
0
1
0
1
2
6
4-4
100%
7-12
3-7
58%
47%
7-11
64%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
34.2
31.2
20
75%
8
4
2
1
0
2
2
6
2-3
67%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
4-6
67%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
33.1
31.2
11
47%
19
1
4
1
0
4
7
12
1-4
25%
5-10
5-10
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.8
25.4
22.8
6
43%
8
1
0
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.8
25.1
22.1
11
51%
1
9
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.8
21.8
22.4
0
0%
4
1
2
1
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-3
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
16.1
19.1
6
43%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
56%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
7.7
11.2
2
29%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
3.0
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.5
2.3
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.5
5.6
0
1-1
52%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
37.8
31.3
15
54%
2
3
5
1
0
6
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
45%
1-5
20%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.3
32.5
29.2
10
45%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
48%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.6
27.8
29.5
6
38%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
19.1
23.6
12
43%
8
1
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
6-14
5-11
43%
48%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
10.0
16.5
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.9
21.2
21.7
10
51%
6
2
0
1
1
4
0
6
3-4
75%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
1-6
17%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
20.3
8.6
10
68%
4
1
0
0
3
0
3
1
2-3
67%
4-6
2-3
67%
59%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.5
18.1
24.1
5
25%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
48%
1-3
33%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
14.5
9.4
6
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
14.4
13.9
6
34%
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
3-4
75%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
8.7
15.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
7.9
16.4
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
7.8
10.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-1
100%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.6
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.