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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Knicks71%104105
27Kings29%97106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.2
36.9
35.9
21
62%
18
1
1
1
1
2
6
12
3-9
33%
9-13
5-7
69%
65%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.8
31.1
31.0
16
62%
6
7
0
2
1
5
2
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
41%
4-11
36%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.2
12.9
12.0
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.8
11.2
12.3
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
9.1
7.9
4
52%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.3
43.0
34.7
28
51%
7
5
0
1
0
4
3
4
5-5
100%
10-22
5-11
45%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.8
40.7
14.9
23
65%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
52%
3-8
38%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.5
25.8
22.2
11
79%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.6
18.3
10.7
0
0%
2
9
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.8
11.1
7.5
2
33%
2
0
0
0
4
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.6
26.9
1
5-11
49%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.5
24.1
1
4-9
46%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.3
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
31.5
12.2
15
45%
10
5
3
1
1
2
3
7
5-6
83%
5-14
2-5
36%
45%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
29.2
29.2
8
40%
1
3
2
1
2
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
28.7
23.9
11
51%
1
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-4
3-5
0%
48%
3-6
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
28.4
23.8
18
61%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
27.7
25.1
6
38%
8
2
0
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
28.5
17.7
17
59%
7
3
1
1
1
2
4
3
0-1
0%
7-13
2-5
54%
46%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
24.2
13.9
6
75%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-4
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
19.3
22.2
10
83%
1
3
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
19.0
18.6
15
83%
2
4
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
44%
3-6
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
3.5
23.0
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
18.1
1
2-5
46%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
10.1
0
1-2
42%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.