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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2076ers36%9789
14Warriors64%10296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
40.3
33.0
21
48%
2
10
2
1
0
2
1
1
6-7
86%
6-15
5-12
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
37.5
36.2
19
56%
10
4
5
1
0
1
0
10
1-2
50%
9-16
6-13
56%
51%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
32.9
38.2
10
34%
5
4
4
1
0
3
0
5
0-2
0%
5-13
5-12
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
30.1
25.6
11
71%
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
3-4
75%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.1
23.0
29.6
8
40%
5
1
1
1
3
0
0
5
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
25.6
19.3
13
36%
4
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-10
2-5
30%
44%
2-7
29%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
25.1
6.1
5
66%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
0-0
0-1
-
41%
1-2
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.8
16.3
4.5
0
0%
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.7
9.3
26.1
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-9
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
17.6
1
1-3
46%
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.7
4.0
0
0-1
40%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.0
2.5
0
0-0
41%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
39.4
37.1
11
50%
5
6
1
2
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
39.0
31.3
14
50%
1
3
2
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
46%
4-7
57%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
38.4
35.4
25
54%
12
1
0
1
0
4
1
11
7-9
78%
9-19
7-14
47%
53%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.6
15.5
19.5
10
56%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.2
10.2
15.1
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.2
32.5
29.4
16
52%
4
6
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
4-10
4-7
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.3
27.9
21.7
15
54%
11
0
0
0
1
0
4
7
7-9
78%
4-10
4-7
40%
53%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
14.7
12.9
3
104%
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
13.5
15.8
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.8
9.0
7.2
2
53%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.5
3.4
0
0-0
47%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.5
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.5
1.9
0
0-1
46%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.1
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.