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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors41%95123
21Magic59%9888
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
33.6
25.9
18
66%
7
2
0
1
1
0
0
7
4-6
67%
7-11
4-7
64%
53%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
32.6
37.2
21
60%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
7-8
88%
7-14
6-13
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.3
24.3
28.2
15
72%
3
10
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
2-5
40%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
21.6
12.5
9
75%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
11.9
13.5
0
0%
5
0
1
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
23.3
29.1
6
52%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.8
22.8
20.9
16
62%
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
2-5
40%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
22.3
21.6
16
80%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
4-5
80%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
21.3
9.9
6
100%
9
2
0
0
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
20.0
26.7
11
69%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
39%
3-6
50%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
3.1
10.0
3
150%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-1
100%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.2
3.1
1.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.0
10.7
0
1-2
47%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
37.7
37.0
14
44%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
4-8
5-10
50%
52%
1-6
17%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
33.4
7.0
13
50%
4
6
2
0
2
0
3
1
0-2
0%
5-10
1-2
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
28.4
33.1
8
51%
9
1
1
1
1
0
4
5
0-2
0%
4-7
5-10
57%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
26.4
6.8
22
70%
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
7
2-4
50%
10-14
1-3
71%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
22.2
17.3
0
0%
2
0
1
1
3
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.5
27.7
33.2
9
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-6
3-6
0%
50%
2-6
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.8
23.2
16.9
8
41%
5
3
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-4
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.5
16.7
6.4
5
51%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.8
13.1
9.9
7
88%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
1-1
100%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
8.3
2.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.7
2.9
29.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
35.7
1
4-7
48%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
14.3
0
1-3
47%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.