Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Raptors	41%	95	123	138.2	89	91.2
	21	Magic	59%	98	88	102.3	86	84.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ed Davis F · 6'10" 245 · 24	33.6	18	64%	7	2	0	1	0	0	0	7	4-6	67%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	32.6	21	58%	3	3	1	0	0	2	0	3	7-8	88%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	24.3	15	75%	3	10	0	0	1	0	0	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	21.6	9	75%	2	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	11.9	0	0%	5	0	1	0	3	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26	23.3	6	50%	6	1	0	0	1	3	2	4	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	22.8	16	62%	4	6	1	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	22.3	16	80%	3	1	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-5	80%
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25	21.3	6	100%	9	2	0	0	0	1	3	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Alan Anderson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	20.0	11	69%	0	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	3.1	3	150%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	3.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	65%	44	33	3	2	8	0	9	35	16-21	76%	31-55	56%	15-27	56%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ed Davis F · 6'10" 245 · 24	33.6	18	64%	7	2	0	1	0	0	0	7	4-6	67%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	32.6	21	58%	3	3	1	0	0	2	0	3	7-8	88%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	24.3	15	75%	3	10	0	0	1	0	0	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	21.6	9	75%	2	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	11.9	0	0%	5	0	1	0	3	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26	23.3	6	50%	6	1	0	0	1	3	2	4	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	22.8	16	62%	4	6	1	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	22.3	16	80%	3	1	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-5	80%
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25	21.3	6	100%	9	2	0	0	0	1	3	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Alan Anderson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	20.0	11	69%	0	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	3.1	3	150%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	3.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	65%	44	33	3	2	8	0	9	35	16-21	76%	31-55	56%	15-27	56%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	37.7	14	44%	2	6	1	0	3	3	0	2	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 24	33.4	13	50%	4	6	2	2	0	0	3	1	0-2	0%	5-10	50%	1-2	50%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	28.4	8	50%	9	1	1	1	0	1	4	5	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	26.4	22	69%	7	0	1	0	0	3	0	7	2-4	50%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	22.2	0	0%	2	0	1	3	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	27.7	9	32%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	3-4	75%	0-6	0%	2-6	33%
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 34	23.2	8	44%	5	3	0	0	2	0	1	4	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 23	16.7	5	50%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	13.1	7	88%	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	8.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	2.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	\| DND - Sore Left Hip
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	\| DND - Sprained Left Elbow
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Glen Davis #11 · F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	47%	35	18	6	8	7	0	10	25	11-22	50%	31-63	49%	5-18	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	ORL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.31 65.4%

ORL

0.95 47.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

12

18

67%

ORL

11

22

50%

Midrange

TOR

19

37

51%

ORL

20

41

49%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

15

22.5

27

56%

83%

ORL

5

7.5

18

28%

42%

Free Throws

TOR

16

21

76%

ORL

11

22

50%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	21	58%	10.5 / 18
E. Davis	18	64%	9.0 / 14
K. Lowry	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Ross	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Calderon	15	75%	7.5 / 10
A. Anderson	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Pietrus	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Johnson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
L. Fields	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Lucas III	3	150%	1.5 / 1
Q. Acy	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Gray	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nicholson	22	69%	11.0 / 16
A. Afflalo	14	44%	7.0 / 16
I. Smith	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Redick	9	32%	4.5 / 14
N. Vučević	8	50%	4.0 / 8
H. Turkoglu	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. McRoberts	7	88%	3.5 / 4
D. Jones	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. O'Quinn	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Harkless	0	-	0.0 / 3
G. Ayon	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 105.6 26 102.0	TOR 138.2 +35.9 ORL 102.3
Pace	24 90.7 16 91.9	TOR 91.2 +6.3 ORL 84.9
Avg. Poss. Time	8 16.2 13 15.7	TOR 15.8 −1.2 ORL 17.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 48.8% 20 48.5%	TOR 65.2% +17.7% ORL 47.5%
TO %	6 14.4% 13 15.2%	TOR 8.1% ORL 7.2% −0.9%
ORB %	19 25.6% 22 25.4%	TOR 26.5% +4.3% ORL 22.2%
FTrt	13 27.4 30 19.7	TOR 25.6 ORL 27.2 +1.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 59.2% 12 60.5%	TOR 71.7% +21.7% ORL 50.0%
STL %	21 7.9% 30 7.0%	TOR 3.4% ORL 7.0% +3.6%
BLK %	16 7.9% 24 7.0%	TOR 3.2% ORL 14.5% +11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 51.9% 22 50.2%	TOR 65.4% +18.1% ORL 47.3%
Rim FG%	7 59.3% 12 58.5%	TOR 66.7% +16.7% ORL 50.0%
Mid FG%	16 39.2% 13 39.6%	TOR 51.4% +2.6% ORL 48.8%
3P %	26 34.3% 29 32.9%	TOR 55.6% +27.8% ORL 27.8%
FT %	5 78.8% 15 75.5%	TOR 76.2% +26.2% ORL 50.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 32.6% 19 35.4%	TOR 22.0% ORL 27.2% +5.2%
Mid Att. %	21 42.5% 20 42.3%	TOR 45.1% −5.5% ORL 50.6%
3P Att. %	10 24.9% 20 22.3%	TOR 32.9% +10.7% ORL 22.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	ORL
Possessions	89	86
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.3
Points	123	88
Rebounds	44	35
Assists	33	18
Steals	3	6
Blocks	2	8
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	25 (2)
Field Goals	46-82	36-81
At-the-Rim FG	12-18	11-22
Midrange FG	19-37	20-41
2-Point FG	31-55	31-63
3-Point FG	15-27	5-18
Free Throws	16-21	11-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg