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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Cavaliers24%93100
17Nets76%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.8
36.1
34.1
17
59%
15
1
0
1
2
2
9
6
7-8
88%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.8
34.9
35.8
13
39%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
48%
1-6
17%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.1
32.4
31.2
5
28%
2
4
3
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
2-7
4-10
29%
41%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
32.1
31.8
10
51%
4
1
3
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
27.4
33.6
12
43%
7
1
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
6-14
5-10
43%
47%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
34.2
19.6
33
101%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
8-10
80%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
29.8
17.3
4
41%
4
6
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
41%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.8
13.1
10.2
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.3
7.3
0
1-1
44%
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.3
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.6
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.3
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 24.0
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
41.4
35.6
15
54%
2
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
1-4
25%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
40.0
32.6
15
51%
4
7
2
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
0-3
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
37.1
28.4
7
37%
10
3
2
1
1
2
2
8
5-8
63%
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.7
35.6
28.5
35
70%
11
1
0
0
1
2
5
6
9-11
82%
13-20
7-14
65%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.6
19.2
22.3
3
50%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.6
21.7
18.7
7
46%
10
0
3
1
0
1
3
7
5-6
83%
1-5
1-2
20%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.1
17.8
11.7
8
68%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
11.8
17.5
7
52%
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
2-4
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
1-1
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
9.0
19.8
2
50%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.9
6.5
14.3
4
50%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
7.1
0
1-2
47%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
3.6
0
0-1
52%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
2.6
0
0-0
52%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.