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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Wizards22%8777
13Bulls78%9887
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.6
41.2
22.2
8
34%
9
5
1
1
1
4
3
6
2-2
100%
3-9
2-3
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
36.9
27.7
10
50%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
2-3
67%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.3
35.6
27.6
11
46%
18
1
0
1
2
2
6
12
1-2
50%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.5
33.9
27.1
14
42%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
40%
0-3
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.3
24.6
24.8
10
37%
9
2
0
1
0
2
1
8
2-6
33%
4-11
4-8
36%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.1
27.7
24.0
12
51%
6
1
0
0
1
3
3
3
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.7
20.9
17.5
7
39%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
40%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
11.2
14.4
3
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.7
8.1
11.5
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.2
32.2
1
4-10
44%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.1
7.1
0
1-1
40%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.5
6.0
0
1-1
42%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.2
5.7
0
0-1
40%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
37.5
36.4
11
38%
6
4
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-3
67%
3-10
6-12
30%
49%
1-3
33%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
37.0
34.5
9
38%
11
5
1
1
1
2
4
7
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
53%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
33.4
24.9
10
73%
6
7
1
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.1
29.5
23.7
15
50%
12
1
1
1
1
1
2
10
5-7
71%
5-12
5-10
42%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
14.7
6.8
9
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
33.3
33.0
17
50%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-13
3-7
38%
47%
2-3
67%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
16.4
17.1
6
43%
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
50%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
14.5
22.5
7
44%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
13.1
3.7
0
0%
8
0
1
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
10.6
23.8
3
52%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.8
0.1
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.1
3.0
0
0-0
46%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.