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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder57%104124
7Rockets43%10194
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
31.9
40.7
26
62%
2
2
3
1
2
2
0
2
6-7
86%
4-9
8-15
44%
53%
4-9
44%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
30.4
38.5
28
58%
8
8
3
2
0
5
2
6
4-5
80%
9-17
7-15
53%
46%
2-5
40%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
30.3
29.8
15
69%
4
1
3
1
2
0
0
4
2-2
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
50%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
29.6
36.0
9
49%
10
1
1
1
1
3
4
6
5-5
100%
2-6
6-11
33%
55%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.1
20.7
22.6
2
50%
7
3
0
0
3
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.2
27.3
18.6
12
60%
10
3
3
1
0
2
4
6
0-0
-
6-10
2-3
60%
59%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.9
23.8
29.3
19
64%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
5-8
63%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.7
18.3
11.3
8
58%
3
1
1
0
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.9
17.7
7.2
2
33%
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
55%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
5.0
3.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.6
5.0
1.4
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.7
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.4
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
34.5
37.3
10
38%
4
4
3
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
51%
0-5
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
32.1
28.6
24
81%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
4-6
67%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
31.3
36.9
25
54%
3
1
2
1
0
4
0
3
11-14
79%
4-10
6-12
40%
50%
2-7
29%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
24.4
32.3
7
41%
2
7
1
2
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
20.9
28.3
4
41%
8
0
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-2
0%
2-4
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
33.0
24.5
17
58%
2
3
5
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-9
2-5
44%
40%
2-4
50%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
18.8
11.6
3
80%
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
7
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
12.3
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
10.4
8.3
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
8.3
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
7.1
1.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.6
7.1
1.4
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
18.3
1
1-2
44%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.