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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat58%10185
16Bucks42%98104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
36.5
39.8
26
59%
6
7
2
2
1
6
1
5
3-5
60%
10-18
8-15
56%
55%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
34.8
23.3
24
54%
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
4-7
57%
10-19
5-9
53%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.8
34.0
33.3
12
40%
16
2
0
1
0
2
8
8
2-2
100%
5-14
6-11
36%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
28.3
25.5
3
38%
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
28.1
30.5
5
37%
2
3
1
2
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.4
19.9
23.8
2
17%
5
1
0
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
19.9
16.9
2
50%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.9
17.8
1.1
5
43%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
0-0
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
7.7
10.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.9
6.5
15.7
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
3.2
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
3.2
1.9
3
85%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.4
2.6
0
0-0
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
41.6
39.5
25
66%
2
7
4
2
0
0
1
1
7-7
100%
6-9
5-11
67%
45%
2-7
29%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
35.7
35.6
14
39%
3
9
5
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-14
7-14
29%
48%
2-4
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
33.1
23.4
19
58%
7
1
1
1
2
3
3
4
2-3
67%
7-14
3-6
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
32.1
25.3
16
73%
11
1
0
1
4
0
2
9
0-0
-
8-11
3-7
73%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
24.7
20.7
2
11%
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-8
2-5
13%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
26.4
24.1
18
63%
9
6
3
1
0
1
1
8
5-5
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
3-7
43%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
14.0
23.7
6
38%
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
13.6
21.4
0
0%
4
1
0
1
2
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
12.7
17.3
2
33%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
3.0
5.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
3.0
2.4
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
49%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
4.4
0
1-1
51%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
4.0
0
1-2
45%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.