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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2276ers48%9685
27Trail Blazers52%9789
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
41.4
36.1
29
61%
9
9
0
1
1
7
4
5
2-2
100%
12-21
6-13
57%
47%
1-2
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
34.6
35.6
4
29%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
5-11
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
33.6
36.5
17
54%
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
8-15
7-13
53%
52%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
30.9
27.3
8
42%
8
1
1
1
1
0
3
5
0-1
0%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
22.0
12.7
5
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.7
25.4
18.8
10
40%
11
1
0
0
0
1
4
7
6-6
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
49%
0-2
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
23.7
22.1
10
56%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
2-4
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.1
20.9
26.3
2
14%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
7.6
14.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.8
10.2
0
1-2
51%
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.7
3.4
0
0-1
41%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.0
1.9
0
0-0
42%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.2
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
43.1
35.7
22
54%
7
8
1
1
2
1
1
6
7-8
88%
3-10
3-5
30%
52%
3-7
43%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.5
38.7
35.9
20
56%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
4-11
36%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
37.5
30.3
16
58%
5
4
0
1
2
2
0
5
2-2
100%
7-13
7-14
54%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
33.8
25.6
16
67%
13
1
2
1
0
2
3
10
2-2
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.3
25.7
13.7
8
82%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
19.9
10.7
1
17%
1
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
16.9
19.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.8
13.9
14.8
4
67%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
10.6
13.9
2
25%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
12.9
0
1-2
44%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.9
8.7
0
1-3
47%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
7.5
0
1-1
42%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
6.5
0
1-2
43%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.5
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.