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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bucks51%9794
25Pistons49%9696
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
41.5
35.0
30
63%
4
9
1
1
1
2
1
3
3-4
75%
9-15
6-13
60%
47%
3-7
43%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
37.7
39.9
9
35%
6
4
0
2
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-8
5-11
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
21.4
28.4
2
33%
5
0
0
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
20.4
22.6
7
35%
6
1
1
1
0
1
4
2
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
0-2
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
20.1
28.6
4
41%
3
0
2
1
1
1
3
0
0-2
0%
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
27.6
25.0
9
64%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
3-5
60%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
26.8
18.8
24
87%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
6-9
2-5
67%
48%
3-3
100%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
16.5
15.3
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
16.2
3.4
9
54%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
3-3
100%
3-6
1-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
11.7
17.2
0
0%
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
4.9
0
1-1
49%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
4.5
0
1-1
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
3.0
0
1-1
48%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.1
34.9
22.9
11
43%
3
3
0
1
0
4
2
1
1-2
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
2-5
40%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.8
34.7
28.6
20
56%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
8-14
4-8
57%
47%
0-2
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
31.4
24.9
8
31%
6
0
3
1
1
1
5
1
4-4
100%
2-9
2-5
22%
48%
0-2
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.6
28.5
26.3
14
53%
10
2
0
1
0
3
4
6
2-3
67%
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.9
26.3
19.8
10
63%
10
3
0
0
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
49%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.0
24.1
23.0
8
44%
2
5
0
1
1
5
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.4
21.7
23.0
11
69%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
3-7
43%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.4
19.5
23.9
8
100%
7
0
1
1
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-4
4-7
100%
54%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.6
13.3
24.6
5
125%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
41%
1-1
100%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
5.5
1.9
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
4.0
0
0-1
46%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.8
3.5
0
0-1
51%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.4
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.7
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.